Duke Blue Devils vs Florida State Seminoles | Free Pick (January 14 )
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Duke 15-0 (8-6 ATS) vs Florida State 11-5 (4-6-1 ATS)
Wednesday January 12 – 9:00PM
Recent history: Duke beat FSU twice last season by an average of 12 points per game
Duke vs. Florida State Odds
Duke -8
O/U – 144
If the Dookies are going to lose this season than odds are it is going to be on the road in the ACC. FSU has been an enigma to some in the conference but Duke has won 5 straight against the Seminoles and 8 of the last 10.
Duke was challenged by Maryland on Sunday as it had problems with the big body of power forward Jordan Williams and didn’t shoot very well…but what makes Duke so hard to beat is that it is generally just a matter of time before playmakers Kyle Singler and Nolan Smith get their game on.
Smith wasn’t fantastic against the Terps but he has upped his game since frosh sensation Kyrie Irving went down to injury. He is not as talented as Irving but we are also beginning to see the emergence of transfer Seth Curry who was struggling to get important minutes with all of Duke’s backcourt depth before the injury.
The longer Irving is out the more important he becomes to Duke’s continued success. 
The Seminoles are always a bit of a tease their fans and handicappers. They do have talent and play very good defense (2nd in FG%D) but they also tend to lose when you least expect – like at Auburn last week as 13 point favourites.
The main challenge they have is scoring the basketball. Chris Singleton is a very gifted athlete and a lethal defensive presence but his offensive game still needs some refinement. After him they do not have anyone else who scores in double figures, they sometimes go long stretches where their offense is stagnant.
Against a team like Duke it is awfully hard to win no matter how good your defense is. One thing if for sure if that the Seminoles will not be pushed around by the Blue Devils. They have good size inside to make it difficult for the Plumlee brothers. FSU can challenge Duke for sure but beating them is something else altogether.
Betting Trends:
Blue Devils are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss.
Blue Devils are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Seminoles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games following three or more consecutive road games.
Seminoles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday games.
Seminoles are 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Free Blue Devils vs Seminoles CBB Pick
I think FSU is going to give Duke all it can handle and will challenge them even harder than Maryland did. It is going to be hard to beat Duke if you don’t have an elite scorer who can get you big buckets which is why they fall short.
Score prediction: Duke 71 – Florida State 68
