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NCAA Hoops Predictions: Longhorns vs. Bears Betting Preview

Preview of a great college basketball matchup on tap for Saturday. We’ve got the free winning pick for the Big 12 conference matchup between the Texas Longhorns vs. Baylor Bears. Get the best College Basketball Picks in the industry with CappersPicks.com…

Texas Longhorns vs Baylor Bears | Free Pick (Mar 5)

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Texas 24-6 (17-8 ATS) vs Baylor 18-11 (7-14 ATS)
Saturday March 5 – 9:00PM
Recent history: Texas beat Baylor at home 69-60 in February.
Texas vs. Baylor Odds
Texas -4
O/U – 132.5

Click here to view LIVE ATS Stats for this matchup —>

What has happened to the Texas Longhorns?  Despite their shoo-in status for the tournament they need to get back on the winning track or else they could face the spectre of being eliminated by a scrappy #14 seed.  They have lost 3 of their last 4, all surprises capped by a home loss earlier in the week to K-State.  

All of the losses have been close which has exposed the fact that this is a terrible free throw shooting team.  It didn’t seem to matter when they were in the flow and killing teams but it has reared its ugly head down the stretch.  Texas has a great ATS record for the season but this funk they are in makes them hard to back right now.

Baylor fans are going to see Perry Jones and LaceDariun Dunn in the League next year and wonder why they had such a stinker of a season this time around.  Still they have a chance to sneak into the field with a strong finish which could include a win over Texas Saturday night.  

There will be plenty of motivation for Dunn who will be playing his last home game to prove to the world that the Bears are better than their record has shown.  Looking more closely at this team they appear to be as much a product of inflated expectations as anything else.  

Dunn is the only senior on the squad and they are relying on a lot of new players in prominent roles.  They have the talent to upset the Longhorns in this rematch.

Betting Trends:

Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Longhorns are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Bears are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Bears are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Bears are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overallOver is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Baylor.

Free Longhorns vs Bears Pick: I want to back the Bears here but they haven’t given me a lot of reason to think they will win.  This looks like another tough loss putting a lot of pressure on them in the conference tournament.

Score prediction:   Texas 74 – Baylor 72

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