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UNC Tar Heels vs. Maryland Terrapins Gambling Prediction & CBB Preview

Tar Heels vs Terrapins CBB Basketball Spread/Handicapping

This isn’t a vintage North Carolina team but they have probably done enough to be considered one of the top 68 teams in the country.

North Carolina Tar Heels (11-5) vs Maryland Terrapins (8-8)
Wednesday March 6
Comcast Center – College Park, MD
Moneyline:  No ML currently listed
Spread:  North Carolina -1
O/U:  145.5 at BOVADA

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North Carolina

They are in third place in the ACC with a chance to steal second if they win their final two games including a home date with Duke, who they narrowly lost to on the road.

First they will need to complete their sweep of Maryland, a team that nobody can really figure out this season.

The Tar Heels normally feature forward James Michael McAdoo but they may need to go with a more perimeter oriented attack against the Terps.  That means lots of bombing away for second and third leading scorers Reggie Bullock and P.J. Hairston, who each take more than half of their shots from outside the arc.

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Fortunately they hit at a pretty good rate so the strategy is sound if Maryland is collapsing defensively inside.

It is hard not to like the Tar Heels as a short favourite against a team they beat easily the first time around.  They are on the road but I like the way they will be able to attack from the perimeter and they have size enough to bother the Terps inside players.

They are playing their best ball of the season, 5 wins in a row, 6 ATS.


The Terps are also making a case for the Big Dance but their resume is a little lighter.  A couple more wins would really help since they didn’t perform all that well since they knocked off Duke as the #2 team in the country a couple of weeks ago. [ad-6571516]

Losses to Georgia Tech and Boston College, even though they are on the road really weaken this team’s chance.

Road performance can be a preferred tourney selection indicator.

Maryland has a fearsome inside player in rugged center Alex Len.  Len leads the team in points, rebounds and blocks and his 12/8 production is pretty good considering he plays less than 27 minutes per game.  The Terps other go to player is transfer Dez Wells – who co leads with 12ppg.

Maryland has a weird lineup where their guards provide little production.  Primary point guard P’Shon Howard averages less than 4ppg – not a typo.

The home team really needs this one but they don’t inspire much confidence.  They are a very good defensive team but from game to game it is hard to predict which team will show up, hence the under .500 ATS mark.

The real question is how desperate are these guys going to be.

If they punch UNC in the mouth early they will have a chance.

Spread Pick:  North Carolina -1
O/U Pick:  Under
Score Prediction:  North Carolina 74 – Maryland 68


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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.