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UNC Tar Heels vs. FSU Seminoles Gambling & NCAA Handicapping Prediction

North Carolina vs Florida St. CBB Picks

The Tar Heels are sitting in 4th place in the ACC but I think their tournament prospects are far from guaranteed. [ad-4468020]

North Carolina Tar Heels (17-7) vs Florida State Seminoles (15-10)
Monday February 17
Donald L. Tucker Coliseum – Tallahassee, FL
7:00PM
Moneyline:  No moneyline currently posted
Spread:  Florida State -1
O/U:  No total currently listed
North Carolina
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Their schedule took an interesting turn when their game against rival Duke was postponed until later this month but they can not be looking too far ahead or else Florida State will hand them a loss that will put an end to their current 6 game winning streak, all covers too. UNC needs this one.

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PF James Michael McAdoo still leaves you wanting more but he has become more consistent in conference play and has double-doubles in his 2 of his last 4 games. The key to winning for the Tar Heels though has been the play of sophmore point guard Marcus Paige.

He has emerged as a more consistent scorer than most thought though he could stand to improve his shooting some – he thinks he is a gunner but he isn’t.
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If you are like me you have been burned by North Carolina this season, they seem to play their worst in games that look like sure things. Despite that recent history I still like them in this spot as small underdogs.

I would be shocked if the Seminoles ran away with this one and the style of play of FSU won’t put a ton of pressure on Paige.
Florida State
The Seminoles are a long shot to make the tournament right now.

To do so they would probably have to win their remaining games and that includes their final regular season contest against currently undefeated Syracuse. When this team plays its best defense they can compete with anybody but as in seasons past they are still limited on the offensive end.

They need to go on the kind of run that has been part of the program’s history over the last few years.

FSU has a trio of scorers averaging 12 and 13ppg in Okaro White, Ian Miller and Aaron Thomas. White is the most experienced of the bunch but he has to remember that his game is most productive closer to the rim.

Fellow senior Ian White has seen a nice jump in his scoring this season as his shooting percentages have really improved. As the primary ball handler though he has to do a better job. He is barely averaging more assists than turnovers.

To back the Seminoles you have to play it on emotion…or more accurately desperation. Florida State is not the more talented team but they have a way of making you work harder than you want and that sometimes gets teams off their games.

UNC is the sharp play but FSU could definitely come through too.

Spread Pick:  North Carolina +1
O/U Pick:   N/A
Score Prediction:  North Carolina 71 – Florida State 65

By The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.