THURSDAY, MARCH 4, 2009 – Penn State Nittany Lions (11-17) vs #11 Michigan State Spartans (22-7)
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Team records:
Penn State: 11-17 SU, 12-13-1 ATS
Michigan State: 22-7 SU, 11-17 ATS
The Penn State Nittany Lions will travel to the Breslin Center in East Lansing, Michigan on Thursday night as they try and spoil the No. 11 Michigan State Spartans hopes of earning a share of the Big Ten title with Ohio State.
The Spartans will want to stay ahead of Boilermakers with a win, as the two teams are locked in a battle for the second seed in the upcoming Big Ten Tournament.
MSU owns a commanding 27-5 advantage for the all-time series against Penn State, including a 65-54 victory in a meeting last month.
The Nittany Lions, after have shown some last minute life and after a 12-game slide, have won three of their last four games including a 79-60 win over Northwestern on Sunday. Talor Battle, PSU’s all around player (19.0 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 4.1 apg and 33 steals), led the way with 16 points, six boards and six assists, while Chris Babb had 14 points in the win. The Lions shot a smoking 57.1 percent from the floor and knocked down 7-of-13 three-point tries. The Nittany Lions have averaged 70.5 points the last four games, a massive improvement for a team that was scoring an anemic 59.4 per game during the losing streak. 
In the meantime, Michigan State enters tonight’s contest with three wins in their last four outings, including a 53-44 win over No. 3 Purdue on Sunday. Raymar Morgan recorded a double double with 16 points and 11 rebounds to lead the way, while Draymond Green finished with12 points and 11 boards in the win. Spartans leading scorer Kalin Lucas, who leads the team in scoring (15.1 ppg) as well as assists (4.0 apg), was held to just eight points on the night — the second straight contest he failed to reach double digits.
MSU dominated a short-handed Purdue holding them to a season low 44 points on 30.0 percent shooting from the field while out rebounding them 46-20.
PSU will be gunning hard to derail their rival, but will have to do it against a Spartans team that is not likely to lose on their home court.
PSU vs. MSU Odds
The odds makers have the Spartans as –13 -point favorites in this one.
Betting Trends:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Penn State’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Michigan State
Penn State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Penn State’s last 6 games when playing Michigan State
Penn State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Michigan State is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games at home
Michigan State is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games when playing Penn State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan State’s last 6 games when playing Penn State
Michigan State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Penn State
Free Nittany Lions vs. Spartans CBB Pick
I expect the MSU to get a solid win in this one, winning by at least 11-points.
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Matt Martz is a freelance writer located in Central California. Blessed is the gambler who expects nothing, for ye shall not be disappointed.
