THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 11, 2010 – Washington Huskies vs. California Golden Bears
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Records:
Washington: 16-7 SU, 7-15 ATS
California: 15-8 SU, 10-11-1 ATS
Tonight, 9:00 p.m. ET
Sportsbook favorite: California -4.5
Before we discuss the Huskies and Golden Bears explicitly – just know that you should bet the over tonight if you like wagering on totals. The over is 15-6 in Washington’s last 21 road games and 12-5-1 over Cal’s last 18 home games.
Washington’s 16-7 record looks decent enough on paper but a closer look suggests we should question the Huskies’ mental toughness. They’re 16-1 at home and have won four straight but they’re 0-5 on the road and 0-6 away from home including neutral sites. Washington can certainly score, sporting the No. 10 offense in the country and a prolific point-getter in Quincy Pondexter, but the Huskies can’t defend. 
Their 71 points allowed per game ranks 244th in the NCAA.
California isn’t quite as potent offensively but the Golden Bears defend better than Washington and they’re 11-1 at home. Against the spread, they’re 7-4 at home, whereas Washington has yet to beat the spread on the road this year. Bettors, you know what to do here.
Gambling Trends:
California is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of California’s last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of California’s last 6 games when playing Washington
California is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington’s last 6 games when playing California
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Washington’s last 21 games on the road
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing California
Pick: California -4.5
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Shea Matthews lives and breathes sports. He made the transition from athlete to sports journalist at a young age, writing in TV & national newspapers. He now applies his knowledge to sports betting and handicapping every day, and shares his winning picks with the world.
