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Golden Gophers vs. Spartans Preview | Free Pick (Mar. 12)

Free Preview and gambling pick including updated point spread and LIVE betting odds for the Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Michigan State Spartans Friday night college hoops Big Ten Tournament matchup…

FRIDAY, MARCH 12, 2010 – Minnesota Golden Gophers vs (11) Michigan State Spartans

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Northwestern @ Purdue

Records:
Minnesota: 19-12 SU, 15-15 ATS
Michigan State: 24-7 SU, 12-18 ATS

Friday, March 12, 8:55 p.m. ET
Sportsbook favorite: Michigan State -3
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This is an interesting Big Ten matchup and oddsmakers agree. Why else would nationally ranked Michigan State, a year removed from the Final Four, only be favoured by three points over a team that isn’t even guaranteed to make the tournament?

The Minnesota Golden Gophers, who smoked Penn State 76-55 in the opening round, have already beaten Ohio State, Wisconsin and Butler this season. They also stayed close with the Michigan State back on January 13, holding the Spartans to 60 points but still losing by seven.

Michigan State has the better pedigree, not to mention eight straight wins over Minnesota, but it isn’t exactly peaking in time for the Big Ten Tourney. Raymar Morgan has been great but star guard Kalin Lucas hasn’t been himself since returning from an ankle injury, averaging just nine points and shooting 31.6 per cent from the floor in his last four games.

Even though the Gophers have beaten five of their last six spreads, a three-point margin is essentially a one-possession spread. I think that’s too tight. A slumping Lucas is better than no Lucas and he has to find his touch eventually. On the strength of Morgan’s dominance on the boards, I think the Spartans will scrape by tonight.

Gambling Trends:

Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Michigan State
Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Michigan State
Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games when playing Michigan State
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Michigan State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Michigan State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State’s last 5 games when playing Minnesota

Free Pick: Michigan State -3

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Shea Matthews lives and breathes sports. He made the transition from athlete to sports journalist at a young age, writing in TV & national newspapers. He now applies his knowledge to sports betting and handicapping every day, and shares his winning picks with the world.