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Michigan Wolverines vs. Louisville Cardinals Odds & Free Final Four Pick

Wolverines vs Cardinals National Championship Betting!

Both Louisville and Michigan have had impressive runs to the title game and overall the Cardinals have not lost since early February Louisville had to come back in their last game using their great pressure defense to come back to win by 4 points.

Venue/ Stadium: Georgia Dome, Atlanta GA
Time/Date: 9:23 PM EST Monday, April 8, 2013
NCAAB Odds From: BetOnline
Moneyline: Michigan +155 / Louisville -175 at SBO
Spread: Louisville -4
Over/Under:  138

ATS Matchup Stats | Gambling Insight!

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Michigan Wolverines vs. Louisville Cardinals Preview

That game was the first one for the Cardinals in the Big Dance where they did not win by double digits. NCAAB lines have Louisville as 4-point favorites with a total of 138.

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In their Final 4 wins Louisville beat Wichita State 72-68 and Michigan beat Syracuse 61-56.

On the season Michigan is 19-16-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 21-15 and Louisville is 23-16 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 19-14.

Louisville has been solid on both sides of the court in the Big Dance and the big question is can their pressure defense force the Wolverines into turning the ball over? Michigan has a solid backcourt and this season Michigan led the nation with the fewest turnovers per game. [ad-6571516]

Louisville leading scorer Russ Smith (18.9 ppg) is averaging 25 ppg on 50% shooting in the Big Dance. Overall, the Cardinals are shooting over 53% from the floor in the tournament, so the Wolverines’ defense has their work cut out for them.

The Wolverines have a solid backcourt duo with the 2 leading scorers of Tim Hardaway Jr. and Trey Burke, but FW Mitch McGary is leading the team in the tournament averaging 16 ppg and 11.6 rpg after averaging 7.5 ppg and 6.3 rpg in the regular season.

Michigan shot less than 40% in the win over Syracuse and Burke was only 1-8 from the floor for 7 points. He and Hardaway have to play well in this game and their play holding onto the rock will be key.

Luke Hancock came off the bench to score 20 points in the Wichita State game and he made 3 of his 5 3-pointers. The Wolverines have to play solid perimeter D and not allow Louisville to get open looks from deep.

In some betting trends for this NCAA title game Michigan is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall and they have an Over record of 12-5-1 in their last 18 neutral site games.

Louisville is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall, 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record, and they have an Over record of 9-0 in their last 9 games.

Jason’s Pick: I think Michigan will handle the Louisville pressure in this game and it will be a close contest. Louisville may win, but Michigan will not get blown out and they will cover the spread.


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About Jason Green

Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.