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NCAAB Handicapping: Stanford vs. Oregon St. (Feb. 19)

West Coast College Ball – Stanford Cardinals at Oregon St Beavers

NCAA Basketball Sports Betting
Stanford Cardinal (15-8 SU, 13-8 ATS) at Oregon State Beavers (11-13 SU, 9-10 ATS)

Thursday, February 19
BetUS NCAA Basketball Odds: STANFORD -3.5

Here are some of the NCAA basketball betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

* STAN has lost five of its last seven games SU
* STAN has played four of its last six games OVER the total* STAN has lost its last five road games SU
* STAN has covered five of its last seven road games
* STAN has played five of its last six road games OVER the total
* OSU has played four of its last five games UNDER the total
* OSU has lost four of its last six home games SU
* OSU has played five of its last seven home games UNDER the total


* STAN has won six of the last seven meetings SU
* STAN has covered six of the last eight meetings
* Five of the last eight meetings have gone OVER the total
* STAN has covered the last four meetings as the road team
* STAN has had the shooting edge in five of the last six meetings
* STAN has had the rebounding edge in six of the last seven meetings
* STAN has made more three-pointers in five of the last six meetings

Oregon State has only one double-digit scorer, Calvin Haynes (who is averaging 15.2 ppg), so it has been a difficult time finding people who coach Craig Robinson can depend on. It would make sense that Robinson, who brought a “Princeton” style of deliberate offense to Corvallis, something he played under with Pete Carill and later coached at Brown, was going to take a while to get the kind of personnel he needed to make the system work. After a brief run where they won four games in a row, the Beavers have cooled off, with losses to Arizona, Arizona State and Washington, where they scored a total of 151 points, and a 54-52 win over Washington State, which is just as offensively challenged, as it turns out.

During that four-game run Oregon State went to Palo Alto and scored a 77-62 win over Stanford. Haynes scored 25 points, which was his career high, and Seth Tarver and Roeland Schaftenaar combined for 37 points. In an offensive display that was rare, OSU shot 62% from the field and committed just 12 turnovers. The Beavers are not that generous with the ball (only 13.3 turnovers/game), and Stanford is not impenetrable on defense. In fact, outside of Oregon, they are probably the most permissive defensive team in the Pac-10, allowing 47.6% from the field.

Stanford, which has lost its last five road games, is experienced and plays at a fast pace. But they are smallish, and Oregon State not only may have a shot to compete on the boards but should also be able to slow things down when they want and get Stanford out of rhythm. We like Oregon State getting 3.5 points at home in the Sportsbook.



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