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Mavericks vs. Trailblazers NBA Pick | Preview (Mar. 25)

NBA Betting – Thursday Night Picks

Before nba betting fans turn their attention to more sports betting events this weekend, we have the NBA. It’s time for our weekly Thursday Night hoops picks for NBA gambling action.



Time: Thursday 10:30 ET
Venue: Rose Garden, Portland
Spread: Trail Blazers -2.5
Over/Under: 192

Team records:
Dallas: 47-24 SU, 28-41-2 ATS
Portland: 42-29 SU, 38-31-2 ATS

These should be heady times in Portland. Greg Oden should be just about figuring out the NBA and the Blazers – with the Twin Towers of Oden and LaMarcas Aldridge – should be doing a pretty good imitation of the Duncan-Robinson Spurs or at least the Sampson-Olajuwon Rockets.

Instead, Oden continues to rehab his way back from another bad injury and the team limps to the playoffs on the back of scoring guard Brandon Roy and not a heck of a lot else.

Oh, and we’d be remiss in not mentioning the palace intrigue going on behind closed doors. GM Kevin Pritchard is angry because he can’t get a contract extension and huge raise, team president Larry Miller refuses to give Pritchard either a vote of confidence or credit for the team’s modest success, and no one really knows why owner Paul Allen is never around.

The front office stuff is amusing to the players and maybe coach Nate McMillan, who have just about locked up a playoff spot and could finish as high as 5th in the West. And that would be an accomplishment for a team whose bigs have been ravaged by injuries and is trying to get by with youngsters (Nicolas Batum) or players with not much tire tread left (Juwon Howard, Marcus Camby).

Online Sports Betting at Sportsbook

The Blazers head into tonight’s game with 5 wins in their last 6, a 5-game win streak, against weak teams, having ended in a defeat at Phoenix.

Portland has Dallas at home again (April 9), and has two important game against Oklahoma City (the Thunder, Blazers and Spurs are neck and neck heading into tonight’s games).

Betting Trends:

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland’s last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Portland’s last 20 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games when playing Portland
Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home


The Mavs are a decent road team. They are also a decent cover team on the road, and they’re also good ATS on the road against good teams that play well at home.

Motivation is everything in the final dozen games of the season, and Dallas is still in the mix for the second-best home record in the West. The Blazers and Mavs are both solid Over teams, but this one will be more like a playoff game, and playoff games tend to slow down.

In the opener, keep an eye on Michael Beasley, who claims that criticism from TNT commentator Charles Barkley a while back threw off his game. Beasley never seems to have his head on right, and he might press tonight.

For a possible parlay, consider Bulls -1.5 in the opener and the under (192) in the second game.

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Lawrence Paul is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog, and is a free-lance gambling and travel expert from Massachusetts.


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About Lawrence Paul

Lawrence Paul is back in the saddle as a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. He's got an AMAZING knack for predicting when a team will have a letdown! Stick with our resident gambling experts sports betting tips all season long!



  1. Step back from those March Madness odds for a minute and check out this exciting matchup in the NBA’s Western Conference, which is always good for a great contest, especially down the stretch when everyone is jockeying for position in the postseason. Portland had a four-game lead over Memphis as of Wednesday, sitting in the final playoff spot as they prepare to host Dallas, who are locked in a battle with Denver for the second spot.

    The Mavericks got 26 points from Jason Kidd, a season high for the veteran point guard, as they dropped the Los Angeles Clippers 106-96 on Wednesday. Dirk Nowitzki had 19 points, going 8-of-11 from the field, but he was ejected early in the third quarter for arguing with the officials. Kidd, on his 37th birthday, hit six three-pointers, and his outside shooting this season has been a revelation, shooting 42.2%, which will be a career high. The Mavericks had lost three of four after their 13-game winning streak was snapped by New York, but this performance, without Nowitzki, should give them confidence heading into the playoffs.

    The Trailblazers have been off since a 93-87 loss at Phoenix on Sunday, and despite doing an excellent defensive job on the high-flying Suns, they couldn’t convert it into a sports betting win because of their terrible shooting. The Trailblazers, led by 23 points from Brandon Roy, shot 36.4% from the field, including 2-of-17 from beyond the arc. All told, the Trailblazers are doing a great job just to stay in the playoff hunt when you consider all of the injuries they’ve had to deal with this year, but they’ll be upset to not get a win when holding the Suns under 100 points.

    Sportsbook odds (sportsbook reviews) should favor the Trailblazers at home, where they are 23-13 this year. The Trailblazers have won both of their meetings with Dallas this year, taking the first by a score of 85-81 in Dallas on December 22nd, followed by a 114-112 overtime victory on January 30th that was also in “Big D”. Nowitzki has averaged 27.5 points against the Trailblazers, while Andre Miller has responded with 32.0 points for Portland. The Mavericks should expect a big game from Nowitzki, who wanted to send a message to his team on Wednesday with his technical fouls and ejection against the Clippers, and it seems to have fired them up in a big way. Whichever point guard can dictate the pace of the game will lead the winning team to victory, and Kidd is a master of this. Take the Mavericks on Thursday when checking out your college basketball odds.