Spurs vs Mavs Preview – NBA Odds
The Spurs are 45-42 ATS with an O/U record of 47-39-1 and the Mavs are 49-38 ATS with an O/U record of 48-39. This season the Mavs are 27-16 at home and the Spurs are 31-12 on the road.[ad-4468020]
Venue/ Stadium: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Time/Date: 8 PM EST Friday, May 2, 2014
NBA Odds
Moneyline: OFF
Spread: Spurs -3
Over/Under: 198.5
The Spurs lead this best of 7 series 3-2.
NBA Odds: [dfads params=’groups=63740&limit=1&return_javascript=0′]
In Game 6 the Spurs beat the Mavs 109-103.
After the Spurs were down 2-1 in this series they have won 2 straight and can close out the series in the Big D tonight.
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San Antonio has the momentum and in the last 2 games the Mavs have not been able to stop the big man duo of Tim Duncan and Tiago Splitter, who each have double-doubles in their last 2 games.
The Spurs got way to easy points off layups in Game 5 and the Mavs will have to not let that happen again if they are going to force a Game 7 in San Antonio. In the game the Spurs had 54 points in the paint and the Mavs have to force them into taking tougher shots.
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While starters Dirk Nowitzki and Monta Ellis combined for 49 points in Game 6 the other 3 starters 6/21 from the floor for a combined 16 points.
While the Mavs did not spread the wealth in Game 5 the Spurs had 4 of 5 starters score in double figures led by Tony Parker with 23 points.
The Mavs need to attack the rim more and get more easy points from the charity stripe, as they only took 15 free throws in Game 5.
The first time the Mavs went to the finals back in 2006 they beat the Spurs on their way and won Game 6 at home and then Game 7 in San Antonio.
Vince Carter had a good Game 5 with 28 points and he buried 7 of his 9 3-pointers, but the Mavs need to play more of a team game and get other players involved. However, that is not easy facing a Spurs’ defense that held Dallas to a FG% of 43.8%.
Duncan and Splitter combined for 24 rebounds in Game 5.
Betting Trends
The Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games overall, and they have an Under record of 5-2 in their last road games.
The Mavericks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall, and they have an Over record of 8-3 in their last 11 home games.
The road team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 games between these 2 teams.
Jason’s NBA Pick:
The Mavs have won 2 games in this series, which were the first 2 facing San Antonio this season. However, even at home they will not be able to stop San Antonio tonight and the Spurs will win, cover the spread, and they will close out this series.
Player Injuries
Spurs
NONE
Mavs
Samuel Dalembert C – May 1: Day-To-Day
DeJuan Blair C – Apr 29: Day-To-Day
