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Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets NBA Lines & Free Pick

NBA Handicapping Predictions – Mavs vs Nuggets

While the Mavs have won 3 straight games, including an impressive win over the Spurs in their last game, they have lost 7 straight on the road.

Venue/ Stadium: Pepsi Center, Denver, CO
Time/Date: 10:30 PM EST Monday, March 19, 2012
NCAA Odds From: Bovada
Moneyline: OFF
Spread (ATS): Nuggets -4
Over/Under: 202

Matchup | Preview 

Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets Preview

The Nuggets are coming off a win and are 7-3 in their last 10 games. NBA lines have the Nuggets as 4-point home favorites in this game with a total of 202.

In their last games the Mavs looked impressive in their 106-99 win over the San Antonio Spurs and the Nuggets beat the Boston Celtics 98-91.

This season the Mavs are 23-23 ATS with an O/U record of 21-25 and the Nuggets are 25-20 ATS with an O/U record of 22-23.

Denver may see their beefed up frontcourt tonight since JaVale McGee may make his debut after getting traded from the Wizards and Wilson Chandler recently resigned with the team after spending time in China. That is not good for the Mavs since C Brendan Haywood and F Shawn Marion are out with knee injuries.

For Dallas to pull off the away upset they will need good games from Dirk Nowitzki, Jason Terry, and Jason Kidd, who all played well in the win over the Spurs. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

The Mavs beat the Nuggets in Denver in the beginning of February, but they have not won 2 straight in the Mile High City since the 2002-2003 season.

Danilo Gallinari has been playing well in the last few games and it is key that Dallas and their solid defense play good D against him and PG Ty Lawson. If the Mavs can play good defense they should win this game, but that will not be easy facing a Nuggets’ team that is the highest scoring team in the league. Conversely, the Nuggets must win with their offense since their D only ranks 28th in the league.

Denver can overtake 6th place in the Western Conference with a win, as they only trail the Mavs by 1/2 game.

The Nuggets are 14-11 at home this season while the Mavs are only 8-13 away from the Big D.

In some betting trends for this Western Conference match up the Mavs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games, and they have an Over record of 5-0 in their last 5 games.

The Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall, 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games, and they have an Under record of 10-4 in their last 14 games as a home favorite.

Jason’s Pick: The Mavs have to snap their road skid some time, but it will not be tonight. The Nuggets have the offense and their frontcourt was recently upgraded and with some frontcourt players out for the Mavs Denver will win this game and cover the spread.



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About Jason Green

Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.