Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Preview & Pick
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NBA Betting – Thunder vs Nuggets Matchup
Date: January 19th, 9:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Pepsi Center, Denver CO
Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets Betting Lines from BetUS.com
NBA betting favorite: Nuggets -3.5
Over/Under: 219
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The Nuggets are a tough team to read in NBA betting right now. On one hand, the trade rumors really seem to be messing with Carmelo Anthony’s game. In two straight games and in three of his last five games, he has 12 points or fewer. That’s absolutely unheard of for Melo.
On the other hand, despite his struggles, the Nuggets have won three of four; in their three wins over that stretch, they scored 127 or more points every time. 
So where have the points come from? It varies. Chauncey Billups, Arron Afflalo and Nene have all had their nights. The bottom line is that Denver is still getting offense even when it doesn’t come from Anthony; the Nuggets average the second-most points per game in the NBA (107.2).
Tonight won’t be easy, however. Oklahoma City can put up big points, too. Kevin Durant once again leads the NBA in scoring (28.4 points per game). He has 30-plus points in three of his last four outings.
Despite the Thunder’s hot play, I expect a bounce-back from Denver tonight. Melo is distracted, yeah, but he won’t lay an egg every night. He’s due for a good game. I’d expect a very exciting, close, high-scoring affair, with the Nuggets sneaking by.
Betting Trends:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of last 14 games when playing Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of last 5 games at home
Prediction: Nuggets 116, Thunder 112
