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San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies Free NBA Picks | Spread

San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies Preview & Pick

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San Antonio vs. Memphis
Tonight, 8:00 p.m. ET
NBA betting favorite: Grizzlies -1.5
Total: 192.5 (-110)

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Whoa, whoa, whoa. The San Antonio Spurs are underdogs? The NBA’s top team? Against a Memphis squad battling for a bottom playoff seed in the West?

It’s not as crazy as it looks. Tony Parker is expected to miss four weeks with a badly strained calf muscle. With him out of the lineup, everything changes for San Antonio.

The Spurs have still won five of their last six games but they’ve been unreliable for bettors of late, going 0-4 ATS over their last four. They beat Memphis at home on Sunday 95-88, failing to cover the 8.5-point spread.

So Memphis is favored because the Spurs are without their top ballhandler. The Grizz are also favored because they’re playing great ball of late. They’re 14-5 over its last 19 games. They’re also 5-1 ATS over their last six. At 38-22-1 ATS, Memphis has beaten the spread more than any other NBA team this season.

The strange thing about Memphis is that it’s surviving despite Rudy Gay being out with a shoulder injury. The Grizzlies have gone 2-2 (and 3-1 ATS) without him; both of their losses came on the road. Zach Randolph has been a monster in Gay’s absence, shouldering the load as the go-to scorer and posting three straight double-doubles. Marc Conley has also stepped up with a 22-point and 19-point effort over his last three contests.

It sounds crazy but I think Memphis can do it tonight. The Spurs are still a great team but they’re just not the same without Parker. Memphis is hungry for revenge and can taste a playoff berth whereas the Spurs, already at 49 wins and six games up on Dallas for first in the Southwest, are in coast mode.

Trends:

SA are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
SA are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Tue. games.
Under is 10-4 in SA last 14 vs. Western Conference.
Over is 7-2 in MEM last 9 home games.
MEM are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games.
MEM are 12-27-2 ATS in their last 41 Tue. games.

Prediction: Grizzlies 98, Spurs 94

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About Shea Matthews

Shea Matthews the Senior Writer at CP. Lives and breathes sports. He made the transition from athlete to sports journalist at a young age, writing in TV & national papers. Shea applies his knowledge to sports betting + handicapping daily, and shares winning picks with the world.


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