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Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets Free NBA Picks | Spread

On Saturday its the Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets. Oddsmakers currently have the odds for this game favoring the Mavericks by -1, the over under is set at 206. Here is a preview, free pick plus the NBA betting angle.

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Preview & Pick

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NBA Betting – Mavericks vs Rockets Preview & Pick
Date: Saturday, February 12, 2011
Venue: Toyota Center, Houston, TX
Broadcast: KTXA, FSH
Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets Betting Lines @ BetUS.com
Money Line: OFF
Spread: Dallas -1
Over/Under: 206.5
Dallas Mavericks (37-16)
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It appears that reports of the Dallas Mavericks’ demise were greatly exaggerated. After Caron Butler and, briefly, Dirk Nowitzki went down with knee injuries in mid-January, things looked bleak for the Mavs. Dallas lost six straight games between January 6 and 17. But Dirk recovered and the team bounced back in a big way. Before a one-point loss at Denver on Thursday night, Dallas had won 10 straight games.

Dallas continues to get solid offensive contributions from vets like Nowitzki, Jason Terry and even Jason Kidd but defense has actually been the team’s calling card this season. The Mavs are 19th in scoring with 98.2 points per game but are seventh in scoring defense with 95.2 points allowed per game. Prior to their last two contests they’d held opponents under 100 points six straight times.

Dallas has been one of the league’s better bets of late, going 6-2 against the spread over its last eight games and a very solid 16-9 ATS on the road this season.

Houston Rockets (25-29)

These ain’t your granddaddy’s Houston Rockets. Remember the scrappy teams embodied by Shane Battier’s tenacious all-around play? Well, Battier’s still around, but this has become a high-flying offensive squad.

Kevin Martin is one of the league’s least-heralded big scorers. He averages 23.5 points per game. He has a solid partner in crime with Luis Scola enjoying a breakout season. Very quietly, the Rockets have the NBA’s No. 4 offense.

Interestingly enough, keeping opponents off the board has been the bigger problem for Houston. The Rockets have surrendered at least 103 points in eight of their last 11 games. They’re reasonable bets overall this season, going 27-25-2 against the spread, but their 11-13-1 home mark makes them questionable plays on Saturday. The Rockets are just 3-9-1 ATS over their last 13 at the Toyota Center.

The pick:

We should expect somewhat of a shootout in the Lone Star State this Saturday night, as Houston always brings the offense and the Mavs have been hot of late. The Mavs are flat-out the better team, so we should assume that they can win this game considering that they’re playing at a high level right now.

However, I’d watch the spread very carefully if I were you. Chances are, it’ll go slightly in Dallas’ favor, but I’d pause if it grows to four or more points. I see Saturday’s matchup as a back-and-forth battle that could come down to the final shot.

Trends:

DAL are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Over is 25-10 in DAL last 35 Sat. games.
Over is 12-4 in HOU last 16 Sat. games.
HOU are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 home games.

Mavericks vs Rockets prediction: Mavericks 108, Rockets 105

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By Shea Matthews

Shea Matthews the Senior Writer at CP. Lives and breathes sports. He made the transition from athlete to sports journalist at a young age, writing in TV & national papers. Shea applies his knowledge to sports betting + handicapping daily, and shares winning picks with the world.