N.Y. Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers Preview & Pick
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New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers
Date: 7:00 PM ET, Friday, February 4, 2011
Venue: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
NY vs. Phili Betting Lines from Sportsbook.com
Spread: 76ers -4
Over/Under: 209
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Tonight, 7:00 p.m. ET
NBA betting favorite: 76ers -4
A lot can change in a short amount of time in the NBA. Would we have seen the Knicks as four-point underdogs at Philadelphia a month ago? I doubt it.
But the New York hype train has derailed. The Knicks are just 3-8 over their last 11 games. Amar’e Stoudemire continues to put major points on the board, averaging better than 26 per game, but Raymond Felton seems to be cooling off slightly.
The real problem, however, is a staple of any Mike D’Antoni-coached team: defensive struggles. The Knicks are second in the NBA in offense, averaging 106.5 points per game. But they’re 27th in “D,” allowing 106.2 points per game. The average score of a Knicks game is 106-106. No wonder they’re back hovering around the .500 mark.
They face a reasonable challenge in Philly tonight. The 76ers are 15-8 at home and are 5-1 over their last six games. They beat some bottom feeders like the Raptors and Nets over that span but they also took down Denver, Phoenix and Memphis, three of the league’s hottest teams, and beat the suddenly struggling Jazz. 
No one stands out on the 76ers; Elton Brand leads the team with just 14.9 points per game. But they’re playing well as a team, with five guys scoring 11 or more points per game, and they’ve been solid defensively.
The 76ers have also been betting gold this season. They’re 31-16-1 against the spread and are an outstanding 7-1 ATS over their last eight games. They seem like a solid bet tonight.
I wouldn’t trust the Knicks until they prove their slump is over. They seem to have lost focus. They were hot but the Carmelo Anthony trade rumors may have put stars in their eyes. They forgot that Melo still isn’t on their team and that they still have to win games. Go with the streaking home team tonight.
Trends:
Under is 6-2 in NY last 8 road games.
NY are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 road games.
NY are 25-12-1 ATS in their last 38 games overall.
Over is 8-2 in PHI last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.
PHI are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 games overall.
PHI are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 home games.
Road team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
Prediction: 76ers 105, Knicks 99
