Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Preview & Pick
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NBA Betting – Heat vs Pistons Preview & Pick
Tonight, 7:30 p.m. ET
Spread: NBA betting favorite: Heat -7.5
Over/Under: 191
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Oh, boy. Here they go again. After their second perplexing slump of the season struck in January, the Heat look poised to start another one of their dominant runs. Their current winning streak sits at seven games; they’ve beaten the spread in five of their last six. That includes a 17.5-point line against Cleveland and an 11.5-point line against the Clippers.
At his current pace, you have to wonder if LeBron James still has a shot to unseat Kevin Durant and win the NBA scoring title. There’s no more doubt as to whether or not the team is his or Dwyane Wade’s. D-Wade has taken a back seat. LeBron has a 51-point game and a 41-point game so far this month. He’s averaging 30-plus points per game in the New Year. 
Since Wade is nursing a bruised wrist, he may see decreased minutes tonight, so the Detroit Pistons can expect to see plenty of LeBron (and Chris Bosh).
The Pistons haven’t exactly been pushovers of late, however. They’ve won three of four and are a respectable 8-7 over their last 15 games. That’s more than most Eastern Conference bottom feeders can say. Still – this is an offensively challenged team. Leading scorer Rodney Stuckey averages just above 15 points per game. We can’t seriously expect Detroit to win tonight, can we?
The more important question is whether or not Detroit can beat the 7.5-point spread. After all, the Pistons are a solid 30-23 ATS on the season, including 14-11 ATS at home. They were 8.5-point dogs against the Heat on January 28 and lost by only a point.
I’ll go with my gut tonight and predict that Detroit isn’t so lucky this time around. The last two elite offensive teams they faced, the Knicks and Spurs, beat them by 18 and 11 points, respectively. The Heat are really rolling and, as their previous hot streak this season told us, it’s best to ride them while they’re hot. Go with Miami tonight.
Trends:
Over is 8-1 in MIA last 9 road games.
Over is 19-7 in DET last 26 home games.
Under is 8-3 in DET last 11 vs. Eastern Conference.
MIA are 18-7-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings.
Prediction: Heat 108, Pistons 99
