Los Angeles Clippers vs Los Angeles Lakers Preview & Pick
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LA Clippers at LA Lakers
Tonight, 10:30 p.m. ET
NBA betting favorite: Lakers -10.5
Total: 194 (-110)
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The Clippers and Lakers always make for an interesting NBA betting matchup since they share a building. Theoretically, both teams should have their share of home supporters (though the Lakers will probably have more, I admit), so we probably shouldn’t pay much attention to home/road stats both straight-up and against the spread.
The Clippers’ little playoff tease to start the New Year was fun while it lasted but we’ve quickly realized that this is still a team in transition. That doesn’t mean the future isn’t bright – how can you not get excited about Blake Griffin? – but it means the Clippers aren’t quite ready for prime time.
The Clippers have lost five of six and are 1-5 ATS over that span as well. It hurts not having Eric Gordon, who was the Association’s eighth-leading scorer before succumbing to a wrist injury. The Clips are 3-8 ATS since he went down. 
The Lakers have returned from the All-Star break in style, beating the Hawks at home and then a streaking Portland team on the road this week. Kobe Bryant and company are 6-3 ATS over their last nine games. Maybe winning the All-Star Game MVP gave Kobe a mental boost? He was a force against the Blazers on Wednesday night, racking up 37 points, nine boards and six assists.
It’s almost a foregone conclusion that the Lakers win tonight but the 10.5-point spread is scary. The Clippers are actually 7-1 ATS over their last eight against the Lakers and have won two of the last three meetings.
However, when the Clippers beat the Lakers in the last meeting on January 16, Eric Gordon dropped a game-high 30 points. The Clips are Griffin’s team but they’re quickly realizing that they can’t win with just one man. They’re not nearly as threatening without Gordon.
Given that the Lakers are firing on cylinders and that the sagging Clippers are missing their top scorer, I actually think the defending NBA champs can cover the fat spread tonight.
Trends:
LAC are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Pacific.
Over is 23-9 in LAC last 32 Fri. games.
Under is 19-7 in LAL last 26 Fri. games.
Under is 15-6 in LAL last 21 home games.
LAC are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
Underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
Prediction: Lakers 111, Clippers 98
