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Boston Celtics vs. Golden State Warriors Free NBA Picks | Spread

Boston Celtics vs Golden St. Warriors Preview & Pick

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Boston Celtics at Golden State Warriors
Tonight, 10:30 p.m. ET
NBA basketball betting favorite: Celtics -4.5
Total: 195.5

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Before we discuss the specifics of the Celtics and Warriors – we need to dive right into the ATS trends here. They’re just fascinating. In the last 19 meetings between Boston and Golden State, the underdog is 16-3 ATS. Also, the Warriors are 23-5 ATS over their last 28 games against Atlantic Division foes.

Another interesting trend: the home team has won nine of the last 10 meetings between these two teams. However, before we get too wrapped up in the numbers, we should remember that these teams rarely face each other, so some of the betting stats reflect entirely different rosters than we’ll see tonight.

The Celtics won their final two games before the All-Star break and played their usual outstanding “D” leading up to their time off, holding opponents under 100 points in 13 of their last 14 games. However, the NBA’s No. 1 defensive team is just the 20th-ranked offensive team. Boston has topped 100 points once in its last 10 games.

The Celtics face an intriguing test tonight at Golden State. The Warriors have the league’s seventh-best offense and are the No. 1 three-point shooting team. Stephen Curry and Dorrell Wright are the big long-range threats. Monta Ellis continues to light up the scoreboard, leading the team with 25.3 points per game.

Golden State entered the All-Star break hot, winning seven of its last nine games. It also beat some quality opponents, including Chicago, Denver, Oklahoma City and, perhaps most notably, the stingy New Orleans Hornets.

You never know when a veteran team like Boston will decide to slam the door shut on a pack of youngsters like the Warriors but I’m willing to gamble on Golden State tonight. The Warriors are playing solid basketball of late and are also 3-0 ATS during their current three-game winning streak. Every time we find a home underdog, we have to strongly consider pouncing, especially if that home team is playing well. 

I would give Golden State a shot tonight if I were you.


Under is 6-2 in BOS last 8 road games.
Under is 22-8-1 in BOS last 31 vs. NBA Pacific.
GS are 23-5 ATS in their last 28 vs. NBA Atlantic.
Underdog is 16-3 ATS in the last 19 meetings.
Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

Prediction: Warriors 102, Celtics 98



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About Shea Matthews

Shea Matthews the Senior Writer at CP. Lives and breathes sports. He made the transition from athlete to sports journalist at a young age, writing in TV & national papers. Shea applies his knowledge to sports betting + handicapping daily, and shares winning picks with the world.