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Grizzlies vs. Spurs Gambling Prediction | Game 5 NBA Betting Odds

NBA Predictions: Memphis Grizzlies vs San Antonio Spurs NBA Lines

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Date/Time: Wednesday, April 27, 2011 8:30 PM ET
Venue: AT&T Center, San Antonio, TX
Broadcast: NBA TV
Memphis Grizzlies vs. San Antonio Spurs Betting Lines from SI
Money Line: Grizzlies +260 / Spurs -310
Spread: Spurs -6.5
Over/Under: 189

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Memphis Grizzlies vs. San Antonio Spurs Preview

The Spurs are on the brink of elimination after losing Game 4 in Memphis and get back to the south for a Game 6 they will have to play better defense and shoot the rock from deep better. NBA lines have the Spurs as 6.5-point favorites in this game with a total of 189.

The Grizzlies beat the Spurs in Game 4 104-86 and Memphis covered the spread and the posted total for the game went Over.

This season Memphis is 56-29-1 ATS and San Antonio is 44-40-2 ATS. Not only have the Grizzlies covered the spread in all 4 games in this series, but they have also covered in their last 9 games against the Spurs overall.

It looked as if the Spurs would even this series in Game 4 having a lead at halftime, but in the 3rd quarter they lost their shooting touch and had 7 turnovers while the Grizzlies began the 2nd half with a 14-0 run and out-scored the Spurs by 15 points in the quarter. After that the game was over and San Antonio never got close. NBA Betting

After worrying about stopping the front-court duo of Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol these 2 only combined to score 20 points in Game 4, as the other Memphis players stepped up. In the game Mike Conley scored 15 points and O.J. Mayo and Darrell Arthur came off the bench to combine for 23 points. Overall, the Grizzlies shot 50.6% from the floor in Game 4 and they hit on 5/12 of their 3-pointers.

The Spurs had a decent shooting Game 4 (46.7%), but they only shot a 3-point FG% of 27.8% (5/18). Tony Parker did his part with 23 points on 9/12 shooting, but the other starters of Tim Duncan (6 points), Richard Jefferson (0 points), and Manu Ginobili (14 points) all struggled. While it is important these guys play better in Game 5 what is more important is that the Spurs play better D.

The Spurs have a big hole to crawl out of, but they know how to win under pressure, which they will do in this game. Look for Duncan and Ginobili to play well and for their D to really step up. I think it will not be that close, as I am going to buck the betting trends saying the Spurs will cover the 6.5-point spread.

Betting Trends

Memphis is 25-10 ATS in their last 35 road games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5, and has an Over record of 7-3 in their last 10 road games.
San Antonio is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite, and has an Over record of 6-1 in their last 7 home games.

Pick: Spurs +6.5

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About Jason Green

Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.



  1. Mark Hardee says:

    Mr. Green

    You have the spurs – 6.5 and your pick is the spurs + 6.5 , you need to get the spread right !!!