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Kings vs. Spurs Free NBA Pick (Dec. 22)

NBA Sports Betting Kings vs Spurs

It looks like some of the adrenaline has worn out from the coaching change made by the Sacramento Kings (7-21 SU, 14-14 ATS). On Monday night they suit up to play what has been one of the NBA’s better teams over the last month or so, the San Antonio Spurs (16-10 SU, 12-13-1 ATS) in NBA pro basketball sports betting action that is set to get underway at 8:30 PM ET at the AT&T Center in San Antonio.  

BetUS NBA Basketball Betting Odds: SAN ANTONIO -13, Total 198

Here are some of the NBA pro basketball sports betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

* SAC has covered five of its last seven games
* SAC has lost 13 of its last 15 games SU
* SAC has played four of its last five games UNDER the total
* SAC has covered six of its last eight road games
* SAC has played 14 of its last 20 road games OVER the total
* SA is 1-4-1 ATS in its last six games
* SA has won seven of its last nine games SU
* SA has played 15 of its last 22 games UNDER the total
* SA is 1-3-1 ATS in its last five home games
* SA has won seven of its last eight home games SU
* SA has played 13 of its last 18 home games UNDER the total

Also…

* SA has won ten of the last 11 meetings SU
* SA has won the last seven meetings SU as the home team
* Five of the last seven meetings in San Antonio have gone OVER the total
* SA has had the shooting edge in five of the last six meetings
* SA has made more three-pointers in nine of the last ten meetings

Former Sacramento coach Reggie Theus was popular with most of the players, but assistant Kenny Natt, who has taken over the job on an interim basis, is seen as more of a taskmaster. The Kings’ first game with Natt was a sterling effort, as they shot almost 51% on a win over Minnesota, another team that had someone at the helm on an “interim” basis (that being Kevin McHale). The Kings went straight into the tank for their next game, as Portland’s defense limited Sacramento to just 31.6% from the floor in an embarrassing 109-77 defeat for Natt.

The Kings have since lost at Houston by eleven and New Orleans by nine, but they registered covers in those games because they were getting such big numbers. Here again that is the case. The Spurs had it tough in a recent road trip, shooting a combined 38% in losses to the Hornets and Magic. They managed to bounce back with a ten-point win over Toronto (in which they pushed), sinking 16 shots from beyond the arc in the process. The three-point shot has become more a part of San Antonio’s game (8.5 per contest) and they would probably be well-advised to continue heaving it from the circle, considering Sacramento surrenders a robust 43.7% of three-pointers on the road.

These teams met earlier in the season, and the Spurs had a lot of anxious moments before coming away from the ARCO Arena with a 90-88 victory. In that game, San Antonio was without both Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili, and Michael Finley and Roger Mason picked up some of the scoring slack. Kevin Martin was out of that game for Sacramento, as he is now (ankle injury). Tim Duncan seems to have always had success against the Kings, averaging 23.5 points against them for his career.

I guess much of it comes down to whether you would trust this Spurs team laying this many in a game where they might rest some people in the second half, since they have to play tomorrow night against Minnesota. Looking at the technical numbers, Sacramento has responded in situations like this, covering in all five instances where it has gotten 12.5 points or more on the road. We’re going to make a small recommendation with the Kings here, as the 13-point underdog in the BetUS NBA betting odds.

Our PLAY: SACRAMENTO +13 *

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