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NBA Betting – Bucks vs. Spurs (Dec. 30)

NBA Sports Betting Action Spurs Host Bucks

The Milwaukee Bucks (14-17 SU, 20-10-1 ATS, 16-15 O/U) are coming off a disheartening 87-76 loss to the Detroit Pistons on Saturday in the BetUS Sportsbook. The San Antonio Spurs (20-10 SU, 14-15-1 ATS, 11-18-1 O/U) have won five straight games for NBA sports betting backers.  Tonight, the two teams will each look to pick up a victory when they meet at the Alamodome.  

The Bucks are coming off a disheartening 87-76 loss to the Detroit Pistons on Saturday, failing to cover the spread as a 6-point home favorite.

Milwaukee got a team-high 17 points from center Andrew Bogut though head coach Scott Skiles pulled his underachieving starters in the second half, barely playing them in the fourth quarter.

“Because I’m putting the other guys in doesn’t mean I’m giving up on the game,” Skiles said. “I still intend to win the game. It can be very confusing on certain nights of why certain guys just don’t have it, but it does happen in the NBA.”

All-star shooting guard Michael Redd is averaging just 14.4 points per game on 30.5 percent shooting (25-for-82) during Milwaukee’s last five games.

The Spurs needed two overtimes to defeat the Memphis Grizzlies 106-103 on Saturday for their fifth straight win and 11th in 13 games.

Point guard Tony Parker scored 32 points and scored two of San Antonio’s three baskets in the second extra period.

“Tony stepped up and knocked down a couple of big shots,” Spurs coach Gregg Popovich said. “It was a good win.”

After playing five games in seven days, Hall of Fame-bound forward Tim Duncan thinks the two days off before this game will be a huge help after he, Parker and Manu Ginobili all logged extensive minutes the last two games.

“Two days is a very long break, especially with the type of schedule we have been holding lately,” said Duncan, who had 29 points in nearly 46 minutes before fouling out on Saturday. “We have a lot of guys who have played a lot of minutes, so a break will be great.”

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends, followed by my in-depth analysis and NBA Free Pick.

Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 6 games
Milwaukee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio’s last 7 games

NBA Odds

Milwaukee Bucks +8 -110
San Antonio Spurs -8 -110

Over 187 -110
Under 187 -110

Analysis: While the Spurs are clearly the better team in this contest, I am a bit concerned about their inability to cover the spread on a consistent basis against the league’s second-best ATS team so far.

Milwaukee has made a habit out of hanging around in ballgames and I suspect they will do so again tonight. I also like the Under in a big way and think it may be an even better play in this contest than the ATS selection.

Take the Bucks to cover the spread narrowly.

NBA Free Picks: Under 187 Total Points/Milwaukee +8 Points


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