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Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets Gambling Prediction & NBA Preview

Golden State vs. Denver Betting!

The Nuggets were the favorites in this series, especially when the Warriors lost David Lee, but Golden State has won the last 3 games if this series and can now close out the series tonight in Denver.

Venue/ Stadium: Pepsi Center, Denver, CO
Time/Date: 8 PM EST Tuesday, April 30, 2013
NBA Odds From: BetOnline
Moneyline: Warriors +290 / Nuggets -350
Spread: Nuggets -7.5
Over/Under:  213

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Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets Preview

NBA lines have the Nuggets as 7.5-home favorites with a total of 213.

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In Game 4 the Warriors beat the Nuggets 115-101.

This season the Warriors are 46-39-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 50-35-1 and the Nuggets are 49-36-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 49-36-1.

This season the Nuggets had the best home record in the NBA at 39-4, but they have already lost a game at home in this series. The Warriors are 20-23 on the road.

The Warriors have covered the spread in every game in this series.

Golden State was 3-18 when playing without Lee over the last 3 regular seasons, but in this season’s playoffs they are 0-3 without the league leader in double-doubles.

The Warriors shot lights out yet again in this series in Game 4 shooting 55.7% from the floor and they shot a 3-pt FG% of 42.3%. [ad-6571516]

In the last 3 games the Nuggets have had no answer for the backcourt shooters of the Warriors, especially Stephen Curry, who scored a game high 31 points in Game 4. Curry, Klay Thomson, and Jarrett Jack have all been playoff great and if the Nuggets cannot keep this G trio from lighting it up from deep this series may end tonight.

The Warriors got some unexpected offense from the frontcourt in Game 4 with C Andrew Bogut scoring 12 points and the FW reserve duo of Draymond Green and Carl Landry combining for 30 points. Golden State is led by their guards, but in Game 4 the Warriors scored 48 points in the paint.

Ty Lawson and Andre Iguodala played well in Game 4 combined for 45 points, but they were the only Nuggets starters that scored in double figures. The Nuggets will have to try to play some D and if they do not they will have to light up the scoreboard to win.

In some betting trends for this playoff series the Warriors are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games and they have an Over record of 6-2 in their last 8 games.

The Nuggets are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 home games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games, and they have an Over record of 7-1 in their last 8 games.

Jason’s Pick: I think the Warriors are primed to take this series tonight and even if they do not it will be a close game tonight and they will cover the spread.


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About Jason Green

Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.