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Bodog Sportsbook: NBA Gambling Advice

NBA Betting: Key Injuries And Hot Streaks

If we could give you one sound piece of basketball betting advice, it would be to pay close attention to the injury reports. This is more important in the NBA than in any of the other major team sports.

We’re talking 12-man rosters, with the starting five hogging most of the minutes. A team can only accomplish so much when one of those players goes down.

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The following list of injured players deserves extra attention from handicappers.

Eric Gordon, Los Angeles Clippers: The Clippers (3-5 SU and ATS) were on a three-game winning streak before Gordon pulled his left groin and missed Monday’s 112-84 loss to the New Orleans Hornets (-2 road faves). This is bad news on a team used to bad news. Gordon is their starting shooting guard and one of the sport’s rising stars, scoring 17.7 points per 36 minutes and hitting 46.2 percent of his 3-point attempts. His replacement in the starting lineup is Rasual Butler (11.7 points per 36 minutes). The NBA odds might take a while to catch up to this downgrade.

Pau Gasol, Los Angeles Lakers: The Lakers are 6-1 SU to start the year, but only 2-5 ATS without Gasol (18.3 points per 36m last year), who has yet to play because of a strained hamstring. In addition, not having Andrew Bynum (strained right elbow) leaves the Lakers without both their starting big men – although there’s a chance both could return by the weekend. Los Angeles is ranked No. 12 in the league in offensive efficiency; D.J. Mbenga (8.8 points per 36m) is their starting center for now.

Devin Harris, New Jersey Nets: This is already expected to be a lost season for the Nets, who cut salary this year in hopes of landing LeBron James in 2010. But it’s only going to get worse without their best remaining player. Harris (21.2 points per 36m last year) is gone for most of November with a strained groin, and the Nets are winless at 0-7 (2-5 ATS). Harris isn’t the only one missing; injuries to Yi Jianlian (knee) and Courtney Lee (groin) left New Jersey with just eight healthy players during Monday’s practice.Sports Betting at the Sportsbook

Andris Biedrins, Golden State Warriors: Golden State (2-4 SU and ATS) has a serious personnel problem. The front-office shift from Chris Mullin to Larry Riley led to the dumping of several players during the offseason, and now the Warriors are struggling without the underrated Biedrins (14.2 points, 13.4 rebounds per 36m last year) at center. Biedrins has groin/abdominal issues and will be re-evaluated toward the end of the month. Journeyman Mikki Moore (8.3 points, 7.7 boards per 36m last year) has been starting in Biedrins’ place.

Antawn Jamison, Washington Wizards: As usual, the Wizards are without one of their vaunted Big Three players. Jamison (20.9 points per 36m last year) started the season on the injury list with a partially dislocated right shoulder, and while the Wiz have often done well against the spread with two of their Big Three (Gilbert Arenas and Caron Butler being the others), this year they’re off to a 2-5 start SU and ATS. Washington is ranked No. 22 in offensive efficiency and should get even worse with Mike Miller (40.2 percent lifetime from behind the arc) out for the next week due to a sprained left shoulder.

Eddy Curry, New York Knicks: Curry is one of the biggest disappointments of the Isiah Thomas Era, and the Knicks (1-7 SU, 2-6 ATS) are understandably more concerned about how soon Nate Robinson (ankle) can get back into the lineup. But Curry has the potential to deliver more punch for handicappers once he’s cleared to play. He’s expected to practice Tuesday for the first time this year, and is reportedly in surprisingly good shape. Curry put up 18.4 points and 6.5 rebounds per game two years ago before missing nearly all of 2008-09 with a sore knee. The Knicks are using power forward David Lee at center with draft bust Darko Milicic as his backup.

Judging how well these players will perform once they return is relatively easy compared to projecting how long a player on a hot streak – even an MVP candidate – can keep up his elevated level of play. But the NBA is a game of ebb and flow, so take advantage of the following players while they’re hot.

Steve Nash, Phoenix Suns: 18.7 points, 12.4 assists per 36m
Chris Bosh, Toronto Raptors: 28.8 points, 11.9 rebounds
Chris Paul, New Orleans Hornets: 26.4 points, 9.6 assists
Josh Smith, Atlanta Hawks: 17.4 points, 7.6 rebounds, 5.1 assists, 3.3 blocks
Carmelo Anthony, Denver Nuggets: 31.3 points, 6.3 rebounds

There are so many sportsbooks in the online realm nowadays it’s hard to find one that’s truly trustworthy!

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