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Odds to win the 2013 NBA All-Star 3-point Competition

2013 3 point Contest Gambling Odds

Size does matter, but does that also apply in the NBA Three-Point Shootout?

We have the image of small guys firing away from outside, making one shot after another, but in fact the bigger you are, the better you tend to do when you start firing from beyond the three-point line.

In fact, over the last seven years no player smaller than 6-foot-5 has won the event. After Voshon Leonard, who at 6-foot-4 won the event in 2004, size has been served:

  • 2005 – Quentin Richardson (6-6)
  • 2006 – Dirk Nowitzki (6-11)
  • 2007 and 2008 – Jason Kapono (6-8)
  • 2009 – Daequan Cook (6-5)
  • 2010 – Paul Pierce (6-7)
  • 2011 – James Jones (6-8)
  • 2012 – Kevin Love (6-10)

So maybe it’s not too surprising that three of this year’s entrants are bigs. A look at the field, with odds provided by bovada.lv:

Stephen Curry, Golden State Warriors (5/2) – The 6-3 Curry has proven himself as a legit three-point threat over the last four years, and has been amazingly consistent – his worst percentage beyond the arc is 43.7, and he’s at 44.7 percent this year. If anyone can break the bigs’ run, it’s him.

Steve Novak, New York Knicks (5/2) – Novak (6-10) has been banging around the NBA for a half-decade, but is just now starting to get some love as a legit sniper for the high-profile Knicks. He led the league in three-point shooting percentage last season.

Kyrie Irving, Cleveland Cavaliers (4/1) – Irving (6-3) will also be playing in the All-Star Game, so it’s possible that he won’t be as focused in the three-point event. Don’t know how much this translates, but Irving hasn’t made more than two three-pointers in a game in a week and a half. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

Ryan Anderson, New Orleans Hornets (4/1) – Despite his size (6-10), Anderson might have a rough go of it Saturday. He’s a volume shooter who has never made as many as 40 percent of his three-pointers in a season, and his percentage of makes in the playoffs drops off.

Matt Bonner, San Antonio Spurs (5/1) – The 6-10 Bonner will never be inducted into the Hall of Fame in Springfield, Mass., but he gets the job done for the Spurs and has thrown in more than his share of three-point daggers. Whether he can do it rapid fire is another thing.

Paul George, Indiana Pacers (15/2) – George is another volume shooter who makes under 40 percent, but has been on a nice run lately. He isn’t shy (5 of 9 in a recent win over Atlanta and 5 of 10 in victory over Toronto). If his shooting arm isn’t too tired, he might surprise.

PROJECTED WINNER: In an upset, George.

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By Lawrence Paul

Lawrence Paul is back in the saddle as a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. He's got an AMAZING knack for predicting when a team will have a letdown! Stick with our resident gambling experts sports betting tips all season long!