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NASCAR Sprint Cup – AAA Texas 500 Preview and Prediction

AAA Texas 500 Lines

NASCAR’s Eliminator Round in this season’s Chase continues this week with the running of the AAA Texas 500 at Texas Motor Speedway. The green flag for Sunday’s race is set to wave at 3 p.m. (ET) and it will be broadcast nationally on ESPN.

Nascar Handicapping

NASCAR Sprint Cup- AAA Texas 500 Preview and Prediction
Race: AAA Texas 500 at Texas Motor Speedway
Date: Sunday, Nov. 2, 2014 
Time: 3 p.m. (ET)
Broadcast: ESPN


It may have been a week too late to stay in the Chase, but Dale Earnhardt Jr. continued a very successful season of racing with a win last Sunday at Martinsville.

Jeff Gordon once again remained right in the mix by taking second and another of the eight drivers left in the Chase, Ryan Newman ended-up third.

The following is a look at my top favorite, contender and longshot to win this Sunday’s race based on odds provided by Bovada.

The Favorite (odd of less than 10/1)

Last week I went Jeff Gordon as my top favorite simply because I think he is destined to end-up on the top of the heap when all the smoke clears in this season’s final race at Homestead in a couple of weeks.


Last Sunday’s second-place finish just confirmed this belief considering that the No. 24 car has now placed either first or second in half of the last 14 Sprint Cup point races going all the way back to Indianapolis in late July. This week Gordon has been opened at 11/2 betting odds to snag his fifth checkered flag of the year.

He came close to winning the first race at Texas this season with a second-place finish in that Sprint Cup event.

The Contender (odds from 10/1 to 19/1)

I am also going with the same driver as this week’s top contender following Matt Kenseth’s sixth-place finish at Martinsville at 12/1 odds. This time around Bovada has opened him at 10/1 odds to win at Texas.

It is still hard to believe that the No. 20 car is still searching for its first Sprint Cup victory this season after crossing the finish line in first place seven different times in 2013.

This is the true definition of overdue and Texas may be just the track to finally cash-in on this pick. Kenseth last won here in 2011 and since that point he has finished no worse than seventh in five of six trips around this track in a Sprint Cup event.

The Longshot (odds 20/1 or greater)

You have yet to see the No. 31 car in a Sprint Cup Winner’s Circle this season, but Ryan Newman has been in the thick of things quite a few times this year with 15 top-10 finishes that includes four in the top five counting last week’s race.

He has been opened at 28/1 odds to win this week’s race that would guarantee himself a spot in the final four at Homestead. Draining some of the value in these longer odds is Newman’s recent track record at Texas.

He has finished outside the top-10 in 10 of his last 12 Sprint Cup Races here. This year he ended-up 16th in the early race at Texas after starting eighth.

Free 4* Texas AAA Picks

Ryan Newman, Matt Kenseth, and Jeff Gordon.

*SPRINT Cup Odds provided by Bovada (Click Here now – Open A free Nascar betting account today!)

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