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NASCAR Sprint Cup Camping World RV Sales 500 Preview and Prediction

Talladega – Camping World RV Sales 500 Predictions

The Chase for NASCAR’s 2013 Sprint Cup title enters the backstretch this Sunday with a return to Talladega Superspeedway for the running of the Camping World RV Sales 500, which is the sixth race on the 10-race schedule.

NASCAR Sprint Cup Camping World RV Sales 500 Preview and Prediction
Race: Camping World RV Sales 500 at Talladega Superspeedway
Date: Sunday, Oct. 20, 2013
Time: 2 p.m. (ET)
Broadcast: ESPN
Odds from Bovada

All the action from Talladega is set to get underway at 2 p.m. and the race will be broadcast nationally on ESPN.

Brad Keselowski failed to qualify for this season’s Chase, but the defending Sprint Cup Champion made his presence felt by taking the checkered flag at Charlotte this past Saturday night. Kasey Kahne raced his way to second and Matt Kenseth finished third.

The following is a closer look at our favorite, contender, and longshot picks for Sunday’s race with odds provided by Bovada or Sportsbook.ag.

The Favorite (odd of less than 10/1)

The Oddsmakers do not have a set group of favorites for this race, just a bunch of contenders listed at +1000 to win on Sunday. The driver at the top of that list is the current leader in the Sprint Cup standings Matt Kenseth. His third-place finish last week gave the No. 20 team a total of 2225 points, but its lead over Jimmie Johnson and the No. 48 car is just four points.

Kenseth has already posted Chase victories at Chicago and New Hampshire as part of his impressive resume of seven point-race wins this season. He comes into this week’s event as the defending champion after taking the checkered flag in last season’s Camping World RV Sales 500. He finished eighth in the first race at Talladega this season. [ad-8757089]

The Contender (odds from 10/1 to 19/1)

With the odds set so high for Sunday there are a number of quality contenders to win this race. We decided to go with Kasey Kahne at +1500 as the best choice for the value. The No. 5 car is buried in the current Chase standings in 12th place, but it is coming off last week’s impressive performance at Charlotte.

Kahne’s first trip to Talladega this season was one to forget after an early wreck ended his day. He finished 12th in last year’s race here, but in 2011 he remained competitive in both trips around the track with a sixth-place finish in the first race and fourth-place finish in this race.

The Longshot (odds 20/1 or greater)

This is as good a race as any to make a small play on a longshot considering that all the drivers are faced with longer than usual odds to win. Looking at Sportsbook’s current list for someone that fits the bill, we are going with Greg Biffle at +2000.

He is currently sitting in fifth place in the standings with 2167 points and even though the No. 16 car’s title hopes are fading fast at 58 points out of the lead, you know that this team will do its best to turn in a competitive run this Sunday afternoon.

Biffle finished 36th in the first race at Talladega this year, but he did post three top-10 finishes in four previous races here including a sixth-place finish in last year’s race.

Odds from Bovada

JIMMIE JOHNSON 10-1
MATT KENSETH 10-1
KYLE BUSCH 10-1
JEFF GORDON 10-1
KEVIN HARVICK 10-1
DALE EARNHARDT JR 10-1
KASEY KAHNE 15-1
BRAD KESELOWSKI 15-1
KURT BUSCH 15-1
CLINT BOWYER 15-1
CARL EDWARDS 18-1
JOEY LOGANO 20-1
GREG BIFFLE 20-1
JAMIE McMURRAY 20-1
DENNY HAMLIN 25-1
MARTIN TRUEX JR 25-1
RYAN NEWMAN 30-1
MICHAEL WALTRIP 40-1
DANICA PATRICK 40-1
JUAN MONTOYA 40-1
AUSTIN DILLON 40-1
PAUL MENARD 40-1
RICKY STENHOUSE JR 40-1
ARIC ALMIROLA 40-1
JEFF BURTON 40-1
DAVID RAGAN 40-1
SAM HORNISH JR 50-1
DAVID GILLILAND 60-1
MARCOS AMBROSE 75-1
TREVOR BAYNE 75-1
JUSTIN ALLGAIER 100-1
CASEY MEARS 100-1
DAVE BLANEY 200-1
FIELD 30-1

2013 SPRINT CUP CHAMPIONSHIP

JIMMIE JOHNSON 1-2
MATT KENSETH 7-5
KEVIN HARVICK 15-1
KYLE BUSCH 20-1
JEFF GORDON 25-1
CLINT BOWYER 60-1
GREG BIFFLE 60-1
CARL EDWARDS 60-1
DALE EARNHARDT JR 60-1
KURT BUSCH 60-1
JOEY LOGANO 100-1
RYAN NEWMAN 200-1
KASEY KAHNE 200-1

*SPRINT Cup Odds provided by Bovada

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About Dave Schwab

David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.


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