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NASCAR Sprint Cup AdvoCare 500 Preview and Prediction

Texas – AdvoCare 500 Predictions

There are just two races left in this year’s Chase and just two drivers battling it out for the NASCAR’s 2013 Sprint Cup title starting with this Sunday’s running of the AdvoCare 500 at Phoenix International Raceway.

NASCAR Sprint Cup AdvoCare 500 Preview and Prediction
Race: AdvoCare 500 at Phoenix International Raceway
Date: Sunday, Nov. 10, 2013
Time: 3 p.m. (ET)
Broadcast: ESPN
Odds By Bovada

This race is set to get underway at 3 p.m. and it will be broadcast nationally on ESPN.

Jimmie Johnson took a huge step towards locking-up his sixth career Sprint Cup title with a victory last week at Texas. Dale Earnhardt Jr. continued to race hard in this Chase with another second-place finish and Joey Logano ended-up third.

The following is a closer look at our favorite, contender, and longshot picks for Sunday’s race with odds provided by Bovada.

The Favorite (odd of less than 10/1)

Given that the title race is a two-man show between Jimmie Johnson and Matt Kenseth, it is only fitting that the two have been opened as +400 co-favorites to win this race.
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The edge has far as betting on the actual winner goes to Johnson. Last week’s victory was the No. 48 car’s sixth of the season and it was good enough to open-up a seven point lead over Kenseth in the current Sprint Cup standings.

The real reason we are going with Johnson as our favorite is four previous checkered flags at Phoenix and an average finishing position of 6.4. Following a thrilling victory in the Daytona 500, he finished second in the first race at Phoenix this season.

The Contender (odds from 10/1 to 19/1)

Kevin Harvick may not be mathematically eliminated from winning the Cup, he is basically racing to hold onto third place in the final standings. He is currently 40 points in back of Johnson for the lead and 12 points ahead of Kyle Busch for third, so there is still quite a bit on the line over the next two weeks.

The No. 29 car has been listed at +1000 make its way to victory lane this Sunday. It did find its way there at Kansas in the fourth race of this year’s Chase, but the real value in Harvick’s odds is the fact that he comes into this week’s race as the defending champion.

The Longshot (odds 20/1 or greater)

Last week we went with Dale Earnhardt Jr. at +2000 as our top longshot pick and he came closing to paying off with a second place finish. It was the No. 88 car’s third second-place finish in this year’s Chase and its fifth on the year.

When we saw that Junior had been opened at +2000 to win this race as well, we decided to roll the dice on him again.

He just seems overdue to nose his car past Kenseth or teammate Jimmie Johnson in one of these final two races. It has been quite a while since he has won at this track, but he did finish fifth in the first race at Phoenix this season.

Odds from Bovada

Matt Kenseth 4/1
Jimmie Johnson 4/1
Kyle Busch 5/1
Brad Keselowski 10/1
Denny Hamlin 10/1
Kevin Harvick 10/1
Clint Bowyer 12/1
Jeff Gordon 12/1
Kasey Kahne 12/1
Carl Edwards 15/1
Joey Logano 20/1
Dale Earnhardt Jr 20/1
Kurt Busch 20/1
Martin Truex Jr 20/1
Greg Biffle 30/1
Ryan Newman 30/1
Jamie McMurray 75/1
Ricky Stenhouse 100/1
Jeff Burton 100/1
Aric Almirola 100/1
Marcos Ambrose 100/1
Justin Allgaier 100/1
Danica Patrick100/1
Paul Menard 100/1
Mark Martin 100/1
Juan Montoya 100/1
Elliott Sadler 100/1
Field (Any Other Driver) 100/1

Odds To Win 2013 SPRINT CUP CHAMPIONSHIP

Jimmie Johnson 1/5
Matt Kenseth 5/2
Kevin Harvick 300/1
Greg Biffle 500/1
Clint Bowyer 500/1
Jeff Gordon 500/1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 500/1
Kyle Busch 500/1

*SPRINT Cup Odds provided by Bovada (Click Here now – Open A free Nascar betting account today!)

By Dave Schwab

David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.