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NASCAR Food City 500 Gambling Picks/Preview

2012 Food City 500 Predictions – Betting Preview + Picks + Odds

NASCAR’s Sprint Cup series returns to the East Coast this week for the running of the Food City 500, which is the fourth point race of the season. Defending Cup champion Tony Stewart notched his first victory this season with a win last Sunday in Las Vegas.  

NASCAR Sprint Cup Food City 500 Preview and Prediction
Race: Food City 500

Venue: Bristol Motor Speedway
Date: Sunday, March 18, 2012
Time: 12:30 p.m. (ET)
Broadcast: FOX

Jimmie Johnson finished a close second for his second-straight top five finish and Greg Biffle remained hot by taking third.

He is now the current leader in the point standings by 10 points with a total of 125 points.

The following is a closer look at our favorite, contender, and longshot picks for Sunday’s race with odds provided by Bovada.

The Favorite (odds of less than 10/1)

Kyle Busch won the Bud Shootout at Daytona to open the 2012 season, but he has basically been a non-factor in his first three point races with just one top-10 finished. This week, he has been opened as a 5/1 favorite to win at a track he has owned over the past three seasons.

Busch has worked his way to victory lane in four of his last six races at Bristol including a win in this race in 2009 and 2011.

Overall, he has five victories and five other top-10 finishes in just 14 career races at this track.

The Contender (odds of 10/1 to 19/1)

This week’s top contender at 10/1 is Matt Kenseth. He has already won NASCAR’s biggest race this season with a first-place finish at Daytona, but it is his past record at Bristol that actually adds most of the value to these odds. Kenseth has finished in the top 10 in seven of his last eight races at Bristol and has two career victories here.  [ad-8757089]

He raced his way to a fourth-place finish in last year’s race after starting from the 11th position.

The Longshot (odds of 20/1 +)

Last week in Las Vegas, Ryan Newman came very close to taking the checkered flag with a fourth-place finish in the Kobolt Tools 400. This top-five finish moved him to 13th-place in the overall standings with a total of 86 points. Newman has been opened as a 25/1 longshot to win this week, but his past performance at Bristol adds quite a bit of value to these odds.

He has finished in the top 10 in six of his last seven races at this track.

This includes a 10th-place finish in last year’s race after starting 21st. Overall, he has finished in the top 10 in 12 of his 20 career races here.

Odds to Win the Food City 500

March 19, 2012

Busch, Kyle 5-1
Busch, Kurt 5-1
Johnson, Jimmie 7-1
Edwards, Carl 8-1
Stewart, Tony 8-1
Harvick, Kevin 10-1
Gordon, Jeff 10-1
Biffle, Greg 12-1
Hamlin, Denny 12-1
Kahne, Kasey 12-1
Kenseth, Matt 12-1
Keselowski, Brad 15-1
Truex Jr., Martin 25-1
Bowyer, Clint 25-1
Martin, Mark 25-1
Earnhardt Jr., Dale 25-1
Newman, Ryan 25-1
McMurray, Jamie 30-1
Burton, Jeff 40-1
Montoya, Juan 40-1
Allmendinger, A.J. 50-1
Lagano, Joey 50-1
Menard, Paul 60-1
Ambrose, Marcos 60-1
Vickers, Brian 100-1
Gaughan, Brendan 100-1
Almirola, Aric 100-1
Ragan, David 100-1
Labonte, Bobby 100-1
Smith, Regan 100-1
Against the Field (any other driver) 100-1

*SPRINT Cup Odds provided by Bovada

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About Dave Schwab

David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.


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