Nascar Shelby American Gambling Picks/Preview

2010 Shelby American Predictions – Betting Preview + Picks + Odds

Preview: Las Vegas Motor Speedway is one of a handful of racetracks on the circuit that the NASCAR Cup Series visits just one time per year. NASCAR has been coming here since 1998, but the track was repaved in 2006 and reconfigured with the addition of progressive banking. Kurt Busch, who grew up in Las Vegas and considers this his home track, won the pole in qualifying Friday, with Jeff Gordon on the outside pole.

Race: The Shelby American
Date: Sunday, February 28, 2010
Time: 3:16 PM EST (scheduled Green Flag)
TV: 3:00 PM EST on FOX

A Busch’s 188.719 mph lap set a new track record, but cool temps and a new tire appear to be part of the reason the track was so fast. With rain in the forecast for Saturday, Happy Hour could be scrubbed and Sunday’s Cup race could start off on a green racetrack.

Safe Bets:

1. Jimmie Johnson (7/2): There have only been 12 Cup races at Las Vegas Motor Speedway and Johnson has won three of them – three straight from 2005-2007 – making him the winningest driver at this track. Although he hasn’t finished as well here the last two seasons, Johnson’s win last weekend in California suggests that the 48 team is off to a strong start in 2010.

2. Kyle Busch (5/1): Busch is the defending winner of this race, going pole-to-pole last year for the victory. After a rough start in his first Vegas race back in 2004, the hometown driver has had four top 10s in five races (his other finish was 11th), giving him an average finish of 5.2 during that timeframe.

Dark Horse:

1. Kasey Kahne (25-1): Kahne’s team has been inconsistent in Las Vegas, but he has finished as high as second (2004) and fourth (2006). Since a DNF in 2007, Kahne has had finishes of sixth and eleventh, and qualified 19th Friday. This has not been a Dodge-friendly track, but Ford has the most wins here for a manufacturer, which could work in Kasey’s favor since Richard Petty Motorsports switched to the blue oval this year.

Summary: Look for weather and tires to be two of the stories heading into Sunday’s race. Polesitter Kurt Busch is anxious to try and parlay his strong qualifying run into a win in front of his hometown crowd, while Jeff Gordon, who’s gotten off to a rough start in 2010 and qualified on the outside pole, is also eager to turn his season around. Gordon has one previous LVMS win.

2010 Shelby American
Race Date: Sunday, Feb. 28
Location: Las Vegas Motor Speedway, Las Vegas, Nev.
Pre-Race: 2PM ET
Green Flag: Approx. 3:16PM ET
TV Coverage: FOX
Radio Coverage: PRN

Odds to win 2010 Shelby American Nascar Race

Jimmie Johnson 9/2
Mark Martin 7/1
Kyle Busch 8/1
Jeff Gordon 10/1
Tony Stewart 12/1
Denny Hamlin 12/1
Greg Biffle 15/1
Jeff Burton 15/1
Kevin Harvick 15/1
Clint Bowyer 15/1
Juan Pablo Montoya 1/1
Kurt Busch 18/1
Carl Edwards 18/1
Matt Kenseth 20/1
Brian Vickers 25/1
Kasey Kahne 25/1
Dale Earnhardt Jr 30/1
Ryan Newman 30/1
Joey Logano 40/1
Martin Truex Jr 60/1
Jamie McMurray 60/1
David Reutimann 60/1
David Ragan 75/1
Brad Keselowski 100/1
Marcos Ambrose 100/1
Sam Hornish Jr 100/1
Field (Any Other Driver) 100/1
AJ Allmendinger 200/1
Elliott Sadler 300/1
Scott Speed 300/1
Regan Smith 500/1
Travis Kvapil 500/1
Bobby Labonte 500/1
Paul Menard 500/1

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Becca Gladden is a freelance writer and race handicapper specializing in NASCAR.