2010 Carfax 400 Predictions – Betting Preview + Picks + Odds
Preview: The last ten Sprint Cup races at Michigan International Speedway have produced nine different winners, with Carl Edwards the only two-time winner during that stretch.
Race: Carfax 400 – Michigan International Speedway
Date: Sunday, August 15, 2010
Time: 1:16 PM EST (scheduled green flag)
TV: 1:00 PM EST on ESPN
For several years this was considered a Ford-friendly track, particularly for the Roush-Fenway Fords, but the last two races have been won by Toyota drivers – Brian Vickers last August and Denny Hamlin this June. Other recent winners include Mark Martin, Dale Earnhardt Jr., Kurt Busch, Matt Kenseth, and Kasey Kahne.
Greg Biffle won back-to-back here in August ’04 and June ’05. Kahne scored the pole for Sunday’s race with Jimmie Johnson in P2.
It has been warm and muggy at MIS this weekend and Sunday’s forecast calls for a chance of rain and thunderstorms.
Safe Bets:
1. Tony Stewart (10/1): Stewart qualified fourth for Sunday’s race and was ninth in practice Friday. He has one previous win at MIS (2000) and finished fifth here in June, but said the Hendrick engines are strong this weekend.
2. Greg Biffle (14/1): Biffle had a third-place finish at Indy and won at Pocono a few weeks ago before struggling at Watkins Glen last week. He has two wins at MIS and qualified sixth after running fifth in practice.
Dark Horse:
1. Clint Bowyer (22/1): Bowyer qualified third for Sunday’s race and was 13th-fastest in practice Friday. He finished eighth in this race last year. Bowyer is fighting hard to hang on to the final Chase berth for 2010. 
Summary: There were a number of surprises in qualifying Friday, including Denny Hamlin in 33rd, Jeff Gordon in 36th, and Dale Earnhardt Jr. in 38th – all previous Michigan winners. Two things that often play a hand in the Michigan results are fuel mileage and inclement weather.
Race: The Carfax 400 at Michigan International Speedway
Date: Sunday, August 15, 2010
Odds to win 2010 Carfax 400 Nascar Race
Jimmie Johnson 3/1
Kasey Kahne 7/1
Tony Stewart 8/1
Clint Bowyer 12/1
Kurt Busch 12/1
Greg Biffle 12/1
Kevin Harvick 12/1
Carl Edwards 15/1
Matt Kenseth 15/1
Jeff Burton 15/1
Denny Hamlin 15/1
Jeff Gordon 15/1
Kyle Busch 15/1
Juan Pablo Montoya 18/1
Martin Truex Jr 30/1
Mark Martin 30/1
Jamie McMurray 40/1
David Reutimann 40/1
Joey Logano 50/1
Ryan Newman 50/1
AJ Allmendinger 60/1
Dale Earnhardt Jr 75/1
Reed Sorenson 100/1
David Ragan 100/1
Marcos Ambrose 100/1
Elliott Sadler 100/1
Regan Smith 100/1
Paul Menard 100/1
Scott Speed 100/1
Bobby Labonte 100/1
Travis Kvapil 100/1
Brad Keselowski 100/1
Sam Hornish Jr 100/1
Field (Any Other Driver) 100/1
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Becca Gladden is a freelance writer and race handicapper specializing in NASCAR.
