Monday Baseball Pick: Padres vs Dodgers
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San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Tonight, 10:10 p.m. ET
Clayton Richard (8-5, 3.48) vs Hiroki Kuroda (8-9, 3.53)
MLB odds: Padres +110, Dodgers -130
Anyone who expected the Padres to sit atop the National League West in August deserves a medal. Baseball’s biggest surprise team keeps chugging along and, believe it or not, became a buyer at the trade deadline, picking up Ryan Ludwick and Miguel Tejada to help its offense.
Now, the Padres have a chance to bury one of their rivals when they visit the Dodgers, who are reeling after getting swept by San Francisco over the weekend.
Clayton Richard’s mediocre WHIP (1.36) suggests he’s been a bit lucky this season, and he did struggle in July, but he’s righted the ship over his last two starts, allowing four runs over 12 innings. 
Richard also loves facing the Dodgers. He’s unbeaten in three career starts against them, sporting a 2.60 ERA and not allowing a single homer.
L.A.’s Hiroki Kuroda has been tidy as ever lately; he has a 1.80 ERA since the All-Star break and has walked just four batters in 20 innings over that span. But the Padres play him tough. Kuroda’s greatest strengths are avoiding homers and not walking guys but he does both against San Diego.
In 42.2 career innings against them, he’s walked 15 batters (high for him) and allowed six homers, amassing a 4.85 ERA.
Kuroda’s nemesis is, predictably, Adrian Gonzalez. A-Gonz bats .333 with a pair of homers off him in 18 lifetime at-bats.
The numbers favor the Padres tonight.
Expect the Dodgers’ woes to continue.
Gambling Trends:
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego’s last 5 games on the road
San Diego is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Dodgers’s last 11 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of San Diego’s last 11 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers’s last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers are 12-5 SU in their last 17 games when playing at home against San Diego
Pick: Padres +110
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