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Marlins vs. Phillies Betting Pick / Preview (Jun. 9)

Shea weighs in with his MLB Predictions for Thursday night and the Florida Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies….Key trend, Florida is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games …

Wednesday Night Baseball Pick: Florida Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

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Ubaldo Jimenez certainly leads the National League Cy Young race but Josh Johnson and Roy Halladay are both right behind him.

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Gametime: Tonight, 7:05 p.m. ET

Team records:
Florida: 28-31 SU
Philadelphia: 31-26 SU

Starting Pitchers:
Josh Johnson (6-2, 2.10) vs Roy Halladay (8-3, 2.03)

MLB odds: Marlins +142, Phillies -162

The aces will butt heads tonight in a big divisional matchup.

Johnson has been so dominant that you’d never guess he was a Tommy John surgery survivor. His earned runs over his last five starts: one, zero, zero, zero, one. The guy has been untouchable.

His career numbers versus the Phillies are pedestrian (4-3, 3.77 ERA) but he threw seven dominant innings against them on May 29, allowing one run – unearned.

The problem: some guy named Halladay pitched for Philly that night and tossed a perfect game.

Doc has been just what the Phillies hoped he would be this season, posting a 77-to-13 K:BB ratio and allowing just three homers in 93 innings. With both guys so unstoppable right now, the game may as well be a coin flip.

I’d argue that Halladay has been a bit more hittable of Johnson lately; he’s allowed at least eight hits in four of his last five starts.

So I’ll let that – plus Florida’s underdog value – be the tiebreaker.

MLB Gambling Trends:

Florida is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Florida’s last 13 games on the road
Florida is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games when playing Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida’s last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Philadelphia’s last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Philadelphia’s last 19 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games

Free Marlins vs Phillie Wednesday Night MLB Pick: Marlins +142

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