Monday Night Baseball Pick: Florida Marlins vs Chicago Cubs
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Even though Florida Marlins innings eater Nate Robertson succeeded in his only career start at Wrigley Field, allowing two runs over seven innings, I fear for him tonight.
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Gametime: Tonight, 8:05 p.m. ET
Team records:
Florida: 14-17 SU
Chicago: 14-18 SU
Starting Pitchers:
Nate Robertson (2-3, 4.85) vs Ted Lilly (1-2, 5.29)
MLB odds: Marlins +135, Cubs -155
Total: 9
He’s a notorious gopher ball pitcher pitching in a small park against a lineup laden with powerful right-handed bats.
Alfonso Soriano, Aramis Ramirez, Derek Lee and Marlon Byrd should form a mini Murderer’s Row and abuse Robertson. 
Cubs starter Ted Lilly isn’t guaranteed to cruise tonight, either. He’s just 1-4 with a 4.54 ERA over six career starts against the Marlins. Dan Uggla in particular has his number.
The heavy-swinging second sacker has two homers and five RBI in just five at-bats against Lilly.
But Lilly is always a better pitcher at Wrigley Field, where he’s 24-13 in his career.
I’d definitely bet over the run total no matter what it is and what book you use, as we should see plenty of longballs, but I believe Robertson will be worse than Lilly.
MLB Gambling Trends:
Florida is 16-8 SU in their last 24 games when playing Chi Cubs
Florida is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs’s last 5 games at home
Chi Cubs are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida’s last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs’s last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi Cubs’s last 10 games
Free Marlins vs. Cubs Monday Night MLB Pick: Cubs -155
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