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Game 2 World Series Gambling Odds / Predictions

World Series Game 2 – Pedro Returns to Yankee Stadium

World Series – Game 2 (Phillies lead 1-0)
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Yankees
Thursday, October 29 – 7:57 PM ET

BetUS MLB betting odds: Yankees -210, Phillies +175, Total 9

The Phillies will go with future Hall of Famer Pedro Martinez (5-1, 3.14 ERA), while the Yankees send one of their prized offseason acquisitions to the mound, AJ Burnett (13-9, 4.07 ERA).

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Here are some of the MLB Baseball betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

PHIL has won seven of its last eight games
PHIL has played six of its last eight games OVER the total
PHIL has won five of its last six road games
PHIL has played eight of its last ten road games OVER the total
NY has won eight of its last 11 games
NY has played seven of its last ten games UNDER the total
NY has won eleven of its last 13 home games
NY has played its last eight home games UNDER the total

In the HEAD-TO-HEAD sports betting trends:

Eight of the last nine meetings have gone UNDER the total
Five of the last six meetings in the Bronx have gone UNDER the total

The Yankees, who had a 34-18 regular season record against left-handed starters this season, could not get their bats around against Cliff Lee, who struck out ten batters en route to a 6-1 victory in Game 1, and this was a real blow for the Bronx Bombers, who had a league-best 57-24 record at Yankee Stadium this season. It was a particularly tough night for Alex Rodriguez, who has hit five homers in the post-season, as he struck out three times.

The Stadium will be buzzing even more tonight as Pedro Martinez gets the start for the Phils. Martinez has a 6-2 post-season record with a 3.13 ERA, and he’s had one start in World Series play, back in 2004, when he went seven scoreless innings and gave up just three hits against the Cardinals in Game 3. In his last two starts in post-season action, Martinez has gone 14 innings and allowed just five hits, striking out nine and walking two, while keeping the opponent off the scoreboard. His seven-inning, two-hit performance against the Dodgers in the NLCS was brilliant.

What Martinez might best be remembered by Yankee fans for is the brawl in the ALCS of 2003, when he threw New York bench coach Don Zimmer to the ground, allegedly because Zimmer had made some disparaging remarks about his mother (a charge Zimmer denies to this day). It can be argued that Pedro is at his best in some of these super-charged situations, and there is no doubt that even though he doesn’t have the velocity he used to possess (he’s throwing an 87 mph fastball these days), he has as much savvy as ever, and he is getting by on that. Prior to his gem against the Dodgers, however, Martinez had given up six runs in seven innings over two starts.

Martinez has started 12 games in the post-season. This will be AJ Burnett’s fourth start in this post-season. Thus far he has walked ten batters in 18-1/3 innings and allowed nine earned runs. His start in Game 5 of the ALCS against the Angels got rough in the very first inning (with four runs), as he gave up a total of six runs in a game where Los Angeles extended the series with a 7-6 win. Prior to that, he had gone six starts in which he had not allowed more than two runs.

What has happened with Pedro since he joined the Phillies indicates that there is a greater chance that Charlie Manuel will have to go to his bullpen in the sixth or seventh. Manuel does not have as much in his bullpen as Joe Girardi, but I like the way Manuel manages his bullpen better than Girardi, who I think is very much into over-managing. That’s a potential edge for Philadelphia in this game.

I don’t know how much longer Martinez is going to pitch in the majors. This year’s effort virtually assures he’ll be a part of the Phillies’, or somebody’s rotation next season. He is exactly the kind of guy who can master this moment, however, and he feeds on the fact that he is “The Most Hated Man in New York.” He may not win this game, but he is well worth the price. We’re going with the Phillies, the +175 underdog in the BetUS Major League Baseball World Series betting odds.

OUR PLAY: PHILADELPHIA (+175) **

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