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Phillies vs. Giants Gambling Prediction / Game 3 Preview (Oct. 19)

2010 Major League Baseball NLCS – Phillies vs Giants Game 3 Preview

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2010 Major League Baseball NLCS – Game 3 Preview

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants
Tuesday, Oct. 19   4 P.M. (ET).
Philadelphia          -120
San Francisco       +110
Over/Under : 7

The best-of-seven NLCS shifts to AT&T Park in San Francisco with the series all knotted up at one game apiece. Game 3 is scheduled for Tuesday, Oct. 19 with the first pitch at 4 p.m. (ET) and will be broadcast live on FOX.

Game 1 of this series, which featured the much anticipated matchup of Philadelphia ace Roy Halladay against San Francisco’s ace Tim Lincecum turned into a game of long ball as the two combined to give up four homeruns; accounting for the majority of the scoring in San Francisco’s 4-3 win.

Outfielder Cody Ross did most of the damage for the Giants with two solo-run blasts, while catcher Carlos Ruiz hit a solo homerun and outfielder Jason Werth added a two-run shot for the Phillies. Homeruns aside, Lincecum won the duel by holding Philadelphia to just six hits and three earned runs, while Halladay gave up eight hits and four earned runs in the seven innings they both pitched.

Game 2 belonged to Philadelphia’s other Roy, Roy Oswalt as he held the Giants to just three hits and one earned run in eight innings of work as the Phillies came away with a 6-1 victory to even the series at 1-1. San Francisco starter Jonathan Sanchez lasted six innings, giving up five hits and two earned runs along with a costly walk that scored a run in the fifth.

Philadelphia will send left-hander Cole Hamels to the mound in this game. He was brilliant in Game 3 of the NLDS, giving up just five hits and no earned runs in the Phillies 2-0 series-clinching win. Hamels comes into this game with a postseason record of 6-3 and an ERA of 3.36 in 11 starts. This season he was 0-1 in two starts against the Giants and had an ERA of 7.36.

San Francisco will go with right-hander Matt Cain as its starter. He was extremely effective at AT&T Park this season with an 8-4 record and an ERA of 2.93 in 16 starts. In Game 2 of the NLDS, he pitched seven strong innings giving up seven hits and no earned runs. Lifetime against the Phillies he is 0-3 with a 6.23 ERA.

These two teams have evenly split their last 10 games against one another with Philadelphia winning four of seven at home and losing two of three on the road. The Phillies were 71-48 this season as the favorite and 74-85-3 against the ‘over/under’  line. The Giants went 32-34 as an underdog and they were 75-82-5 against the ‘over/under’ line. The total has gone ‘over’ in four of the last six games between these two.

Hamels has regained the form that earned him the MVP in the 2008 postseason and has the ability to shutdown a Giant’s offense that has done little in the first two games other than three homeruns by Cody Ross. Expect Philadelphia’s bats to add just enough run support to swing this series back in its favor. 

Betting Trends:

SAN FRANCISCO is 4-4 (+1.5 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)
HAMELS is 37-33 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team’s Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 30-22 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 96-73 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 112-76 (+38.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less since 1997.
CAIN is 20-9 (+9.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team’s Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 102-65 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 73-45 (+16.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-10 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in playoff games over the last 3 seasons.

The Pick: Philadelphia -120

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David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Los Angeles Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.

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About Dave Schwab

David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.


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