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Philadelphia Phillies vs. NY Mets Gambling Odds & MLB Free Prediction

Phillies vs Mets Baseball Picks

The Phillies lost all 4 games of their home and home with Toronto. It was an ugly stretch as twice they were shutout and twice they gave up 10 or more runs to a club that is having all sorts of struggles as well.

Philadelphia Phillies (15-18) vs. New York Mets (16-17)
Friday May 9
Citi Field – Queens, NY
7:10PM
Probable Pitchers:
PHI:  Roberto Hernandez (R)
NYM:  Jenrry Mejia (R)
Moneyline:  New York -119, Philadelphia +100
Total:  7.5
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Philadelphia

Philadelphia is currently in last place in the NL East but a rebound in this series could at least put them ahead of the Mets.

It looks like the offense is going to have to lead the way but that is going to be tough given the inconsistencies of the key players in their lineup.  Chase Utley was red hot early but he has cooled.  Domonic Brown has been a complete non-factor which hurts them against righties.

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The pitcher formerly known as Fausto Carmona has been adequate filling out the back end of the Phillies rotation this season. Unfortunately for this game he has been a completely different pitcher on the road than at home with a difference in ERA of about 5 runs.

The Phillies are sputtering right now and if he can be more consistent it would give them a huge lift.
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The Phillies were hammered by the Blue Jays the last couple of days giving up 22 runs.

They need him to stabilize things a little tonight.

New York

The Mets have been better than expected over the first 6 weeks of the season.  Before running into the buzz saw that are the Miami Marlins at home they were actually sitting above .500 thanks to timely hitting and reasonably good pitching.

There is potential there but this is not a dynamic offensive team. Eric Young will run most times he is on base but the rest of the lineup leaves a lot to be desired.  Offseason acquisition Curtis Granderson has been a complete bust.

He is not even hitting .200 so far.  As a result this club is really struggling to produce runs.

Jenrry Mejia may not get a lot of media attention but he can be pretty tough to hit. The problem is he gives up way too many walks so the hits he does give up often inflict damage.  When he is on he can be brilliant but when he is off the Mets have no chance.

He also has sharp splits but in this case it is in his favour as he is much better at home where Citi Field is still primarily a pitcher’s park.

Philly has a lot of swing and miss guys and that is something that should benefit Mejia.

I love betting baseball but this is one of the games where really anything can happen. I am going to lean towards the home team for this one and assume that Mejia will be fairly strong and whiff a bunch against a team that has to be pressing a little bit.

Carmona is just the kind of pitcher the Mets can take advantage of too.

The over is a strong play as well.

Total prediction:  Over
Score prediction:  New York 5 – Philadelphia 4

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By The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.