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MLB Betting – N.Y. vs. Toronto Preview & Pick

Shea weighs in with his MLB Free Pick for Friday. It’s the N.Y. Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays matching up at Rogers Center. The Blue Jays are currently 105-moneyline favorites…

MLB Betting – Yankees vs Blue Jays Preview & Pick

The New York Yankees begin their playoff stretch run at Toronto this week – but they must do so without some key contributors. Alex Rodriguez’s meniscus surgery will sideline him until late August.

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MLB Gambling Online – New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Friday, July 14, 2011
Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Broadcast: YES, RSN
New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays Betting Lines from BetOnline.com
Money Line: Blue Jays -105
Over/Under: 9
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New York Yankees (53-35 through July 13)
Freddy Garcia (7-6, 3.13)

Nick Swisher’s quad injury may also keep him out of this series.

Not that the Yankees don’t have plenty of other guys to carry the load. How powerful is this team? Put it this way: Curtis Granderson and Mark Teixeira are challenging for the major-league homer crown and another teammate of theirs, Robinson Cano, just won the Home Run Derby.

Freddy Garcia will hope to keep his efficient, surprisingly helpful season going against the Jays on Friday night. He’s 1-1 against them so far this season, allowing six runs in 11.1 innings.

Toronto Blue Jays (45-47 through July 13)
Brandon Morrow (5-4, 4.60)

The Toronto Blue Jays don’t have to kid themselves; they have no shot to win the American League East despite being a feisty, competitive team with some great prospects. But a solid performance against the Bronx Bombers over the weekend would at least be good for their pride.

They probably feel pretty good about starting Brandon Morrow on Friday. The power righty is starting to look like he did when he caught fire in the second half of 2010. In his last seven starts, he’s allowed three earned runs or fewer five times. [dfads params=’groups=10&limit=1&return_javascript=0′]

Jose Bautista may have flopped at the Home Run Derby but he should feel nice about returning home. Joey Bats is batting .363 with 32 RBI in 36 games at the Rogers Centre this season.

MLB Trends

NYY are 3-10 in their last 13 Fri. games.
Under is 12-4-1 in NYY last 17 road games.
Under is 8-3-1 in NYY last 12 overall.
Under is 10-4 in TOR last 14 games following a win.
TOR are 35-16 in their last 51 Fri. games.
Over is 5-2-1 in Morrows last 8 home starts.
Over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings in Toronto.

MLB Free pick:

It’s worth noting that both Garcia’s starts against Toronto this year were at Yankee Stadium. The Rogers Centre is a totally different story for him. He hates it. Or, his stats there suggest he does. Over seven career starts in Toronto, Garcia has a 6.93 ERA and eight homers allowed in just 37.2 innings.

Freddy has shown good control this year but that may hurt him against an aggressive, powerful team like Toronto.

I think the Jays will rough him up on Friday and give Morrow the run support he needs to win.

Yankees vs Blue Jays prediction: Blue Jays 7, Yankees 3

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By Shea Matthews

Shea Matthews the Senior Writer at CP. Lives and breathes sports. He made the transition from athlete to sports journalist at a young age, writing in TV & national papers. Shea applies his knowledge to sports betting + handicapping daily, and shares winning picks with the world.