Friday MLB Baseball Picks: Rockies vs Giants
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MLB Betting – Rockies vs Giants Preview & Pick
Date: Friday, May 6, 2011
Venue: AT&T Park, San Francisco, CA
Broadcast: ROOT, CSBA
Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants Betting Lines from BetOnline.com
Money Line: Rockies +105, Giants -127
Over/Under: 6.5
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Colorado Rockies (18-10 through May 4)
Ubaldo Jimenez (0-2, 7.20)
What a weird season for the Colorado Rockies. They’re 18-10, first place in the National League West through Wednesday, yet two of their vital starts have been terrible this season. Carlos Gonzalez isn’t hitting and Ubaldo Jimenez has been the biggest conundrum of all on the mound.
After seriously contending for the Cy Young Award last season and being literally unhittable at times, Jimenez looks like a rookie right now. The velocity is down and the walk rate is through the roof – even for his standards.
But Jimenez feels he’s about to turn the corner. He’s studied lots of video of himself leading up to his start on Friday night and believes he’s fixed a mechanical flaw in his delivery. Time will tell if he’s right.
San Francisco Giants (15-15 through May 4)
Matt Cain (2-2, 3.28)
Matt Cain has more or less been his usual stellar self for the San Francisco Giants this season; five of his six outings have been quality starts. He’s allowed more than two runs in a start just once. Against the Rockies, he’s 11-7 with a 3.22 ERA over 23 starts – very typical Cain numbers.
But will Cain get enough run support on Friday night? The Giants are batting just .236 as a team this season and are 27th in baseball with 3.55 runs per game. It’s gotten bad enough that the Giants have been rumored to recall Brandon Belt from Triple-A or even trade for Jose Reyes.
MLB Trends:
COL are 10-4 in their last 14 road games.
COL are 17-8 in their last 25 games on grass.
COL are 1-8 in Jimenezs last 9 road starts.
Under is 7-2-1 in SF last 10 overall.
Under is 7-2-1 in SF last 10 on grass.
SF are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. National League West.
Under is 7-1 in Cains last 8 home starts vs. COL.
COL are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings.
The pick:
I have a good feeling about Friday night as a return to form for Jimenez. He sounded very confident talking about his preparation this week, even suggesting that “I think I threw a perfect game” in his bullpen session. The Giants aren’t an intimidating lineup to face for a pitcher, so I think Ubaldo will outduel Cain in a low-scoring affair.
Rockies vs Giants prediction: Rockies 3, Giants 1
Money Line: Rockies +105
Over/Under: UNDER 6.5
