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MLB Betting – Boston vs. New York Preview & Pick

Shea weighs in with his MLB Free Pick for tonight. It’s the Boston Red Sox vs. N.Y. Yankees matching up at Yankee Stadium. The Red Sox are currently 125-moneyline favorites…

Tuesday MLB Betting – Red Sox vs Yankees Preview & Pick

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MLB Betting – Red Sox vs Yankees Preview & Pick
Date: Tuesday, June 7, 2011
Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Broadcast: NESN, WWOR
Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Betting Lines from BetOnline.com
Money Line: Red Sox -125
Over/Under: 9.5 (-110)
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Boston Red Sox (33-26)
Jon Lester (7-2, 3.94)

The Boston Red Sox quickly erased the anguish of being swept at home by the White Sox when they swept Oakland in three wild games over the weekend. Adrian Gonzalez has (deservedly) garnered many headlines in Boston this season but a man who had six hits in the Oakland series – and who is quietly posting throwback numbers – is David Ortiz. Big Papi is batting .325 and leads the BoSox in homers (13) and OPS (.987).

He and the streaking Boston offense will try to back up unheralded ace Jon Lester at Yankee Stadium tonight. Lester is 7-1 over 13 career starts against the Bronx Bombers but he still has some demons to conquer. He’s allowed four-plus runs in four of his last five starts, one of which came against New York. He won despite allowing four runs, walking four and serving up two homers over six rocky innings.

New York Yankees (33-24)
Freddy Garcia (4-4, 3.34)

Freddy Garcia faced the Red Sox the last night Lester faced the Yankees and wound up on the losing end of the decision. [dfads params=’groups=10&limit=1&return_javascript=0′]

However, the four runs Garcia allowed in 5.1 innings that night qualified as his worst outing of the season. For the most part, Freddy has been surprisingly serviceable as a Yankee in 2011, allowing three earned runs or fewer in seven of his nine starts.

MLB Trends:

BOS are 2-8 in their last 10 Tue. games.
BOS are 19-7 in their last 26 games on grass.
BOS are 16-6 in their last 22 overall.
NYY are 129-62 in their last 191 home games.
Over is 13-6-2 in the last 21 meetings.

The pick:

Not an easy decision tonight. The matchup in theory should favor Lester, as he’s lost once in 13 starts against the Yankees. But he’s also struggling and facing the majors’ top-ranked offensive team in terms of runs per game, homers and OPS.

Still – Boston is streaking, Freddy is ordinary and Lester, struggling or not, never seems to lose against the Yanks. Maybe he’ll get up for this game and snap the slump.

Red Sox vs Yankees prediction: Red Sox 5, Yankees 3

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By Shea Matthews

Shea Matthews the Senior Writer at CP. Lives and breathes sports. He made the transition from athlete to sports journalist at a young age, writing in TV & national papers. Shea applies his knowledge to sports betting + handicapping daily, and shares winning picks with the world.

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