Sunday MLB Baseball Picks: Red Sox vs Yankees
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Sunday Night Baseball Betting – Red Sox vs Yankees Preview & Pick
Date: Sunday, May 15, 2011
Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Broadcast: ESPN
Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Betting Lines from BetOnline.com
Money Line: Yankees -110
Over/Under: 8.5 (-120)
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Boston Red Sox (17-20 through May 12)
Jon Lester (4-1, 2.96)
Facing the Yankees in the Bronx on the national stage for Sunday Night Baseball can be an intimidating thing but I wouldn’t count on Jon Lester to feel too rattled taking the hill for the 8:05 start. In 12 career starts against the Bronx Bombers, he’s lost once, winning six times and striking out 80 Yankees in 74 innings.
At Yankee Stadium, Lester has a 2.73 lifetime ERA and holds New York to a .223 average. He gets the better of them more often than not – except for Alex Rodriguez. A-Rod has three homers and six RBI over 26 career at-bats against Lester with a .964 OPS.
New York Yankees (20-15 through May 12)
Freddy Garcia (2-2, 2.61)
As much as A-Rod smashes the ball against Lester, is he in position to do much on Sunday night? He’s batting just .209 with one homer in 11 games this month. With Robinson Cano also possibly not playing at 100 per cent after the beaning he took earlier this week, another Yankee needs to step up. Curtis Granderson is hot but the lefty Lester has his number. Nick Swisher is really overdue. He has just two homers in 34 games after smacking 29 in each of the last two seasons.
Are the Yankees in good hands with Freddy Garcia on the hill against Boston? You wouldn’t think so, but he’s been more than serviceable for them. The vet didn’t allow a run over his first two outings this season and has three quality starts in five tries.
MLB Trends:
Under is 7-3-1 in BOS last 11 road games.
Under is 44-21-4 in BOS last 69 Sun. games.
Under is 8-1-2 in Lesters last 11 Sun. starts.
Under is 6-1-1 in NYY last 8 home games.
NYY are 125-59 in their last 184 home games.
Under is 5-2-2 in the last 9 meetings in New York.
The pick:
Garcia’s story has been nice but alarm bells are starting to ring. He’s allowed four homers and 23 hits with nine walks over this last three starts. It looks like Freddy might be due to take a beating. I wonder if Adrian Gonzalez is the man for the job. He has six homers over his last nine games and has crushed right-handed pitching for a .362 average this season.
I smell a blowout. Lester always stays cool and collected against the Yankees, Boston is due to bust out of its slump and Garcia is due for a stinker.
Red Sox vs Yankees prediction: Red Sox 8, Yankees 3
