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MLB Betting – Boston vs. Texas Preview & Pick

Shea weighs in with his MLB Free Pick for Saturday. It’s the Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers matching up at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington, The Rangers are currently 152-moneyline favorites…

MLB Betting – Red Sox vs Rangers Preview & Pick

So far, so good for the Boston Red Sox on their road trip. They opened by taking three of four from the Kansas City Royals.

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MLB Betting – Red Sox vs. Rangers Preview & Pick
Date: Tuesday, August 23, 2011
Venue: Rangers Ballpark in Arlington, Arlington, TX
Broadcast: NESN, FSH
Boston Red Sox at Texas Rangers Betting Lines from BetOnline.com
Money Line: Texas -152
Over/Under: 7
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Boston Red Sox (77-49 through August 21)
John Lackey (11-9, 6.02)

Their visit to Texas, though, should be a much bigger challenge. Boston is still without Clay Buchholz (back) on the pitching side; Kevin Youkilis and J.D. Drew remain on the DL; and David Ortiz and Jacoby Ellsbury may also sit out Tuesday’s action with nagging injuries.

Now is as good a time as ever for John Lackey to step up and yank that ERA below 6.00. He’s 5-1 since the All-Star break even though opponents are batting .314 off him and he has a 4.53 ERA over that stretch. But with so many Boston hitters nicked up, he probably can’t count on his usual excellent run support Tuesday.

Texas Rangers (73-55 through August 21)
Colby Lewis (11-8, 3.83)

The Texas Rangers are ready for home. They steamrolled the competition for the early part of their road trip but finished by losing three of four. [dfads params=’groups=10&limit=1&return_javascript=0′]

At Rangers Ballpark in Arlington, the Rangers bat .293 and slug .503 as a team, so the likes of Michael Young and Josh Hamilton are licking their chops.

Colby Lewis may not be so happy. He hasn’t been great in Texas this season, going 4-4 with a 5.15 ERA and an ugly 18 homers allowed in just 73.1 innings.

MLB Trends

Under is 8-1 in BOS last 9 overall.
Under is 8-1 in BOS last 9 on grass.
BOS are 39-19 in their last 58 road games.
TEX are 16-5 in their last 21 home games.
TEX are 6-2 in their last 8 Tue. games.
TEX are 11-4 in their last 15 overall.
BOS are 5-16 in the last 21 meetings.

MLB Free pick:

Though Lewis has scuffled at home this season, he has a respectable 3.38 lifetime ERA against Boston. On the flipside, the Rangers own Lackey historically. They’ve tuned him for a 6.07 ERA and 29 homers in 184 innings.

The numbers for some Texas hitters against Lackey are eye-popping. Hamilton bats .478 with three homers and seven RBI in 23 at-bats; Ian Kinsler sits at .480 with three homers and seven RBI over 25 at-bats; and Young hits .360 with 15 driven in over 89 at-bats. These guys mash Lackey.

Since Lackey also won’t have a fully healthy lineup backing him, the Rangers look like a great choice for Tuesday.

Red Sox vs Rangers prediction: Rangers 8, Red Sox 4

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By Shea Matthews

Shea Matthews the Senior Writer at CP. Lives and breathes sports. He made the transition from athlete to sports journalist at a young age, writing in TV & national papers. Shea applies his knowledge to sports betting + handicapping daily, and shares winning picks with the world.