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2011 MLB Odds: N.Y. vs. Texas Preview | Pick

MLB Betting – Yankees vs Rangers Preview & Pick

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Date: Saturday, May 7, 2011 8:05 PM
Venue: Rangers Ballpark in Arlington, Arlington, Texas
Broadcast: None
New York Yankees at Texas Rangers Betting Lines from Bodog.com
Money Line: Rangers -115 / Yankees -105
Over/Under: 10 (-115)
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Chicago Cubs (18-12 through May 7)
Bartolo Colon (2-1, 3.00)

The Yankees are coming off a win and are 6-4 in their last 10 games and they have a comfortable 4.5-game lead over the 2nd place Rays in the tough AL East. Their offense has been solid all season and they rank 6th in the Majors in runs scored, 5th in on-base percentage, and 1st in slugging percentage. Their pitching has been decent ranking 12th in team ERA and tonight’s starter Bartolo Colon has fit in well with the rotation and in his last outing he pitched 7 innings giving up 3 earned runs in a no-decision.

Colon has owned the Rangers in the last several seasons going 12-1 with a 2.89 ERA in his last 13 starts against them. He has won his last 5 starts at Texas, but he has not pitched at Arlington since 2007. The Bronx Bombers have 3 guys killing the ball with Curtis Granderson leading the AL in HR and Mark Teixeira and Robinson Cano ranking 3rd. However, Teixeira has struggled lately going hitless in his last 9 at bats, but he is 4/10 against probable Texas starter Derek Holland.

Texas Rangers (17-16 through May 7)
Derek Holland (3-1, 4.66)

The Rangers are reeling, as they have lost 2 straight and are only 3-7 in their last 10 games. Still, they are only 2 games back of the L.A. Angels in the AL West. Their offense is the main reason for their recent struggles, as in their last 6 games they are 1-5 and they have only averaged 2.66 runs per game in that span. The Rangers have scored only 1 run in each of their last 2 games, including losing to the Yankees 4-1 last night. In last night’s loss the top 4 hitters of Ian Kinsler, Elvis Andrus, Michael Young, and Adrian Beltre were 0/16. Bet on MLB at BetOnline

Tonight’s probable Texas starter Derek Holland has had no luck against Yankees in his career going 0-3 with an ERA of 7.71 in 3 starts. He is 2-0 at home this season, but he has an ERA of 6.50 ERA in those 2 starts.

MLB Trends:

NYY are 4-0 in their last 4 road games against a left-handed starter.
NYY have an Under record of 4-0-1 in their last 6 home games.
TX is 1-4 in their last 5 home games.
TX is 5-2 in Holland’s last 7 starts.
TX has an Over record of 4-0 in Holland’s last 4 home starts.

The pick:

Colon is enjoying success at the back end of the Yankees’ rotation and he is still hitting in the mid 90’s with his fastball and he keeps the ball down, which is not good for the Rangers, who are struggling to get on base.

Holland has not lost at home this season, but facing the hot Yankees bats while the Rangers bats are silent he will get shelled in this game and not get much run support. I like the Yankees in this game, as the slight road underdog.

Yankees vs Rangers prediction: Yankees 7, Rangers 2

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