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MLB Betting – Philadelphia vs. Florida Preview & Pick

Shea weighs in with his MLB Free Pick for tonight. It’s the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Florida Marlins matching up at Sun Life Stadium. The Marlins are currently 105-moneyline favorites…

Tuesday MLB Baseball Picks: Phillies vs Marlins

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MLB Betting – Phillies vs. Marlins Preview & Pick
Date: Tuesday, May 10, 2011
Venue: Sun Life Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Broadcast: CSN, FSFL
Philadelphia Phillies at Florida Marlins Betting Lines from Betonline.com
Money Line: Florida -103
Over/Under: 6 (-105)
CLICK here for INDEPTH MLB ATS Stats for this matchup —>
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Philadelphia Phillies (22-11 through May 8)
Roy Halladay (5-1, 2.19)

It’s business as usual for Roy Halladay as the Phillies prepare for a big National League East clash with the team closest behind them: the Florida Marlins.

A 5-1 record, 2.19 ERA and 57:7 strikeout-to-walk ratio over 53.1 innings seem downright epic but, for Halladay, it’s to be expected. He’s baseball’s best pitcher and he has dominated his competition in all but one start so far this season.

Last season, he stomped the Marlins, going 4-1 over five starts with a 1.66 ERA and a perfect game. The Phillies aren’t hitting homers at their usual prolific rate and Carlos Ruiz and Chase Utley are on the DL but Halladay never needs much run support anyway.

Florida Marlins (20-13 through May 8)
Josh Johnson (3-1, 1.68)

Poor Josh Johnson has to feel overshadowed by Halladay. He’s one of baseball’s very best pitchers but he always seems to match up against Doc when the Marlins meet the Phillies. The guy allowed one run – zero earned – over 15 innings against the Phillies last year yet compiled a 1-1 record. He pitched against Halladay on the perfect-game night and lost 1-0. Bet on MLB at BetOnline

Johnson will need all the offensive help he can get to solve Doc on Tuesday night. Gaby Sanchez could be up to the task; the super sophomore is batting .328 with a .926 OPS this season. But will the real Hanley Ramirez please stand up? The supposed superstar is batting just .195 with one homer in 31 games.

MLB Trends:

PHI are 55-23 in their last 78 overall.
Under is 7-3 in PHI last 10 road games.
PHI are 35-17 in their last 52 road games.
Under is 7-1 in FLA last 8 Tue. games.
Over is 8-2-2 in FLA last 12 overall.
FLA are 7-2 in their last 9 games following a loss.
PHI are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.
PHI are 20-6 in the last 26 meetings in Florida.

The pick:

We have to bet the UNDER when these two pitchers meet; that’s for certain. As for the pick, I’ll lean Philadelphia’s way. The Marlins need Logan Morrison back from the DL and Hanley Ramirez back from the dead if they want to score on Halladay. It’s a coin flip but I don’t think I can ever bet against the Phillies when Doc pitches.

Phillies vs Marlins prediction: Phillies 3, Marlins 2

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By Shea Matthews

Shea Matthews the Senior Writer at CP. Lives and breathes sports. He made the transition from athlete to sports journalist at a young age, writing in TV & national papers. Shea applies his knowledge to sports betting + handicapping daily, and shares winning picks with the world.