Friday MLB Baseball Picks: Angels vs Rangers
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MLB Betting – Angels vs Rangers Preview & Pick
Date: Friday, May 13, 2011
Venue: Rangers Ballpark in Arlington, Arlington, TX
Broadcast: FSW, KTXA
Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers Betting Lines from BetOnline.com
Money Line: Angels -103
Over/Under: 7.5 -115
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Los Angeles Angels (21-16 through May 10)
Jered Weaver (6-2, 1.87)
6-2 with a 1.87 ERA would qualify as a Cy Young favorite’s numbers, wouldn’t they? You’d think so. But the truth is that Jered Weaver is “slumping.” After allowing five earned runs over his first six starts combined, winning all six of those outings, Weaver has allowed seven runs over his last two starts, losing both.
That was to be expected. In no sport does the law of averages ring truer than in baseball. Weaver just couldn’t sustain his ridiculous start, just as Ubaldo Jimenez couldn’t last season. With his ERA likely to rise another run before the season is up, Weaver will have to hope his lineup gives him more run support. But it could be hard to come by with Vernon Wells on the DL and Kendrys Morales out for the season with another leg surgery.
Texas Rangers (19-18 through May 10)
Alexi Ogando (3-0, 2.17)
Remember when the Rangers started 9-1? They’re 10-17 since then. It’s not a huge surprise considering Josh Hamilton is out with a broken arm and Nelson Cruz succumbed to his annual hamstring strain. The Rangers’ hot-starting pitchers have also come back to Earth.
Except for Alexi Ogando. Who saw him coming? He was an afterthought, a last-minute rotation replacement to start the season after the Rangers decided to keep Neftali Feliz in the bullpen. All he’s done is go undefeated in six starts and allow two earned runs or fewer in five of them. He also has a miniscule 0.88 WHIP.
MLB Trends:
LAA are 11-4 in their last 15 road games.
LAA are 7-2 in Weavers last 9 starts.
Under is 10-3-1 in Weavers last 14 road starts.
Over is 7-1 in TEX last 8 vs. American League West.
TEX are 3-7 in their last 10 overall.
TEX are 3-7 in their last 10 games on grass.
LAA are 2-7 in Weavers last 9 road starts vs. TEX.
Under is 6-2-3 in the last 11 meetings in Texas.
The pick:
For a while it felt like we couldn’t go wrong betting on Weaver. But I advise you now to forget what you’ve learned. Weaver can be had when he pitches in Texas. He’s won just twice in 11 tries there over his career and has allowed nine homers to go with a 3.93 ERA over 71 innings. Even without Hamilton and Cruz, Texas has pop with Michael Young, Ian Kinsler, Adrian Beltre and emerging youngster Mitch Moreland.
Also, Ogando has only ever faced L.A. as a reliever. He hasn’t allowed a run over eight career appearances against them. He has their number and their lineup is depleted. I like Texas Friday night – and you may even get value on the pick since Weaver could make the Angels a road favorite.
Angels vs Rangers prediction: Rangers 6, Angels 3
One reply on “MLB Betting – Los Angeles vs. Texas Preview & Pick”
The Halos need to get their bats going of they want to compete in this series.