Brewers vs Braves Preview – MLB Odds
On the season the Brewers have an Over/Under record of 19-24 and a run-line W/L record of 22-22 and the Pirates have an Over/Under record of 15-25 and a run-line W/L record of 19-23.
Venue/ Stadium: Turner Field, Atlanta, Georgia
Time/Date: 7:10 PM EST Monday, May 19, 2014
MLB Odds From: Bovada
Moneyline: Brewers +119 / Braves -129
Over/Under: 7 runs
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This season the Braves are 13-6 at home and the Brewers are 13-17 on the road.
In their last games the Braves beat the St. Louis Cardinals 6-5 and the Brewers lost to the Chicago Cubs 4-2.
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The Brewers have the best road record in the National League, but things have not been going well for them as of late away from Milwaukee. After going 11-1 on the road the Brewers have only won 2 of their last 8 on the road and in that span their offense has only totaled 19 runs. Still, Milwaukee is in first place in the NL Central with a 4-game lead over the St. Louis Cardinals.
The Braves narrowly avoided the sweep in their last game against the Cardinals needing a walk and a wild pitch to score 2 runs in the 9th for the win. They are also in first place in their division, but only have a ? game lead over the Washington Nationals in the NL East.
The Braves have been solid at home in the last 2 seasons against the Brewers going 9-11 in their last 11 in Atlanta and earlier this season the Braves took 2 of 3 against the Brewers in Milwaukee.
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Atlanta’ offense has really been struggling this season, as they only rank 29th in runs scored, but their pitching has saved them with the best team ERA in the Majors.
For the Brewers Wily Peralta (4-2 2.05 ERA) gets the start tonight and in his last outing he gave up 1 earned run in 7 innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates, but he took a no decision.
Mike Minor (1-2 4.24 ERA) gets the nod for the Braves and in his last outing he was great not giving up any earned runs in 6 innings of work in a win over the San Francisco Giants.
The Brewers are 7-3 in Peralta’s last 10 starts and the Braves are only 1-4 in Minor’s last 5 home starts.
Minor has gone 1-1 with a 1.35 ERA in 3 starts against Milwaukee since the 2012 season.
In 7 of 8 starts this season Peralta has given up 2 or fewer runs.
Betting Trends
The Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games facing a team with a winning record, 1-4 in their last 5 road games, and in their last 6 games they have an Under record of 4-1-1.
The Braves are 80-36 in their last 116 home games, 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite, and they have an Under record of 10-4-1 in their last 15 games overall.
Jason’s Pick:
I think tonight’s game will be a pitcher’s duel, but Minor and the Braves will come out on top.
