MLB Predictions: Marlins vs Braves Lines
The Atlanta Braves host the Miami Marlins on Tuesday in the second game of a four-game set at Turner Field. The Marlins came to Atlanta with losses in six of seven games, while the Braves began the series with wins in four of their previous five games.
Miami Marlins (46-52) at Atlanta Braves (54-45)
Date: Tuesday, July 22, 2014
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Venue: Turner Field
City: Atlanta, Georgia
O/U Odds: 7.5
Money Line: Atlanta -185, Miami +170
Pitching Matchup: RH Jacob Turner (2-6, 6.22 ERA) at LH Mike Minor (3-5, 4.86 ERA)
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Mike Minor gets the nod for the Braves in this one. He has not been able to replicate the form that made him so successful a year ago, and he has seen his ERA climb by more than a full run over his last 10 starts. His 14.9 percent HR/FB rate is a big reason for his struggles.
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Minor’s last start before the break was his worst in a month, as he allowed six runs in six innings of work, surrendering 11 hits and walking one while striking out five. Even still, the Marlins were able to weather Minor’s ineptitude and come away with an 11-6 victory, with the southpaw getting tabbed for the win.
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Minor will be making his first start against the Fish this season in this one. He faced the Marlins six times last season, and those outings did not go very well for him. In those six outings, Minor allowed four or more runs four times, including each of the last three meetings, and each of the three meetings at Turner Field.
His last two starts against them were the worst of the bunch, as he allowed a combined 10 runs in 13 innings of work, surrendering 16 hits and six home runs, striking out only five batters. Even with his struggles against them, the Braves managed to win four of Minor’s six starts against the Fish.
The Marlins counter with Jacob Turner. Turner was relegated to the bullpen as his season completely came off the rails. Turner was 2-4 with a 6.38 ERA in nine starts before he was moved to the bullpen.
Turner had gotten a start in against the Braves before he was relegated to the bullpen, and it did not go well. In five innings of work, he allowed five runs, four of them earned, on seven hits, walking four and striking out four in a 9-5 Marlins loss.
Neither starter in this matchup instills much confidence, and both have what it takes to get lit up by the opposing lineup. Even still, we see a total installed for this matchup as if the oddsmakers expected a pitcher’s duel. With such a strong chance of seeing fireworks in this one, the over has to be the place to look.
The over is 5-0-1 in Minor’s last six starts against the Marlins, and it is 9-3-1 in Turner’s last 13 starts as an underdog.
The play: Over 7.5
