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Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Preview & Free Pick

Kansas City vs Minnesota MLB Betting Preview

The Twins and Royals have the same records and are tied in the basement of the AL Central 5 games back of the 3 teams tied for first.

Venue/ Stadium: Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota
Time/Date: 8 PM EST Friday, April 27, 2012
NCAA Odds From: Bovada
Moneyline: Royals +110 / Twins -130
Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Matchup | Preview

Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Preview

The Twins are reeling, as they have lost 5 straight, but at least they are back home. It is a good thing the Royals are on the road, as in KC they are 0-10, but 5-4 on the road. MLB lines have the Twins as favorites tonight with a total of 8.5 runs.

In their last games the Royals beat the Cleveland Indians 4-2 while the Twins lost to the Boston Red Sox 7-6.

This season the Royals have an O/U record of 8-10 with a run-total W/L record of 11-8 and the Twins have an O/U record of 10-9 with a run-line W/L record of 9-10.

These teams are tied for the worst record in the Majors, but while the Twins have dropped 5 in a row the Royals have won 2 straight.

Everett Teaford (0-1, 3.86 ERA) takes the hill for the Royals tonight and in his last start he went 3 innings and gave up 3 earned runs in a loss to the Blue Jays. On the mound for the Twins tonight is Carl Pavano (1-2, 4.73 ERA), who only gave up 2 earned runs in 6 innings in his last outing, but got no run support in a loss to the Rays.

Pavano is 8-3 with a 4.08 ERA in his last 12 starts against the Royals. Teaford is making a scratch start for the injured Danny Duffy and In 2 relief appearances this season he has allowed 3 hits and 3 runs while walking 5.


Don’t look for a lot of runs in this game since the Royals rank 19th in the Majors in runs scored and the Twins rank 21st. The Twins are simply not getting any clutch hits, as while they only rank 21st in runs scored they rank 10th in team batting average and 12th in on base percentage.

The Royals have lost 16 of their last 21 games facing the Twins in Minnesota.

For the Twins Denard Span and Josh Willingham are both batting .333 and while star Joe Mauer is hitting .319 their other star in Justin Morneau does have 4 HR, but only 8 RBI and is only hitting .238.

Billy Butler and Eric Hosmer are the only Royals’ players with over 10 RBI and while Hosmer has 5 HR he is only batting .211.

In some betting trends for this AL Central match up the Royals are 5-16 in their last 21 overall, 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter, and they have an Under record of 7-2-1 in their last 10 games.

The Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter, 1-6 in Pavano’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record, and they have an Over record of 7-2 in their last 9 games.

Jason’s Pick: I think at +110 the Royals have good value in this road game since they have won 2 straight and have been a solid road team this season.

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About Jason Green

Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.