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Giants vs. Phillies Gambling Prediction / Game 6 Preview (Oct. 23)

2010 Major League Baseball NLCS – Giants vs Phillies Game 6 Preview

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2010 Major League Baseball NLCS- Game 6 Preview

San Francisco Giants @ Philadelphia Phillies
Saturday, Oct. 23   3:55 P.M. (ET).
San Francisco     +148
Philadelphia       -158
Over/Under 7

This best-of-seven NLCS shifts back to Citizens Park in Philadelphia for Game 6 after the Phillies grinded out a 4-2 win on Thursday night to cut the San Francisco Giants’  lead to 3-2. The first pitch is scheduled for Saturday afternoon at 3:55 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast live on FOX.

Philadelphia’s ace Roy Halladay got the better of round two of his duel with San Francisco ace Tim Lincecum, as the Phillies’ bats provided just enough offense to stave off elimination in Game 5. Halladay, who was suffering from a sore groin, was far from perfect, giving up six hits and two earned runs in his six innings of work, but it proved to be good enough. Lincecum got tagged with three runs in the third inning on a couple of hits and an Aubrey Huff error which ended up being all the scoring Philadelphia needed. He ended the night giving up four hits and two earned runs in seven innings of work.

With the Phillies ahead by a run heading into the ninth inning, RF Jason Werth hit a solo shot off of reliever Ramon Ramirez to add an insurance run and their closer Brad Lidge retired the side to seal the win.

The Giants seemed a bit out of sync all night long, scattering seven hits for two runs while committing two errors in the field. The Phillies ended the game with just six hits but were able to take advantage of opportunities to generate four runs.

San Francisco will return to Game 2 starter Jonathan Sanchez for Saturday’s game. The left-hander got rocked around his first time out more than any other Giant starter in this series, giving up five hits and two earned runs in six innings of work. The Phillies went on to win that game 6-1. Sanchez went 13-9 with an ERA of 3.07 in 33 starts during the regular season.

Philadelphia will go with Game 2 winner Roy Oswalt as its starter in this one. Oswalt turned in the best performance so far of the four Phillies starters in this series by completing shutting the Giants down his first time out. He held them to just three hits and one earned run in eight innings of work. The only run he gave up was a solo homerun by Cody Ross in the fifth inning. Oswalt went 13-13 in the regular season with a 2.76 ERA in 32 starts and has pitched lights out since coming over to the team from Houston at the end of July.

The Phillies have beaten the Giants three out of the last five games played in Philadelphia including a two-game split in this series. They are 71-48 as a favorite while San Francisco is 32-34 as an underdog. The total has gone 2-1-2 in the first five games.

Oswalt on the mound gives Philadelphia the best chance to force a Game 7 as he has already proven he can quiet the Giants’ batters. The Phillies bats are starting to find some holes in San Francisco’s defense and should be able to get to Sanchez early enough to secure the win.

Betting Trends:

PHILADELPHIA is 64-38 (+14.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 57-35 (+17.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-12 (+24.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
OSWALT is 13-4 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team’s Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 73-54 (+15.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 43-29 (+11.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 32-23 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
SANCHEZ is 22-13 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team’s Record)

The Pick: Philadelphia -158

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David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Los Angeles Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.

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About Dave Schwab

David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.


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