World Series Betting: Rangers vs Giants Game 2 Preview & Pick
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Well, it’s on now, isn’t it? The invincible Cliff Lee has finally been tamed. The San Francisco Giants beat the heck out of Texas’ ace in Game 1 of the World Series. Suddenly, it’s becoming clear that they have a chance to actually win this thing. But will Texas bounce back in Game 2?
2010 WORLD SERIES: Texas Rangers @ San Francisco Giants
Game 2: Tonight, 7:57 p.m. ET
C.J. Wilson (1-1, 3.93) vs Matt Cain (1-0, 0.00)
MLB odds: Rangers +110, Giants -120
Lee starts have been automatic wins for Texas in the 2010 postseason, so it’s understandable if the Rangers are panicking just a little bit today. Especially since the Giants are sending another dominant pitcher after them. Tim Lincecum may be the team’s ace, but Matt Cain is almost as good and has been the Giants’ best starter in the playoffs.
Both of Cain’s outings have come at home. He allowed one unearned run in 6.2 innings against Atlanta and shut the Phillies out with seven scoreless frames last week. Cain has held opponents to just a .170 average over those two starts. It’s not a huge surprise that he cruised at home, as he was dominant at AT&T Park all season, going 8-4 with a 2.93 ERA.
Cain’s sample size against Texas is small. He’s faced the Rangers once in his career, tossing eight innings of one-run ball. Ian Kinsler has a homer off him but for the most part Texas regulars have faced him too few times to give us a real sense of how they’ll handle him. 
It’s worth noting that the Rangers did get to Lincecum last night. They smacked eight hits and tallied four runs off him in 5.2 innings. Nelson Cruz, Vlad Guerrero and company continue to mash right-handed pitching during these playoffs.
Can C.J. Wilson bounce back from a weak effort against New York last week? It seems like he’s fallen into a slump. Of his three playoff starts, each has been weaker than the last. Wilson allowed zero, three, then five runs. He’s never faced the Giants in his career but it’s worth noting that he was outstanding on the road this season, posting a 2.91 ERA and holding opponents to a .201 average. Like Cain, he’s faced San Francisco’s regulars (when they were on different teams) too few times for the history to matter. For example, Cody Ross is 0 for 3 against him but does that stat really matter considering what Ross has done this postseason?
Something tells me this game will be surprisingly low-scoring. Cain loves pitching at home and Wilson loves pitching on the road. My gut says Texas wins this one. First off, despite their loss last night, the Rangers’ bats didn’t go cold at all. They still produced seven runs. Over the course of the series, Texas’ offensive superiority should shine through.
Secondly, Wilson can still be a clutch pitcher. He shut down Tampa on the road in the NLDS. He struggled last week but that was a trial by fire in his first start at Yankee Stadium. With that nerve-wracking experience behind him, every other road environment should seem pleasant by comparison.
I know Cain has been untouchable at home but we thought Lee couldn’t lose, didn’t we? The Rangers have swung the bats well against pretty much every pitcher put in front of them in these playoffs. I think they’ll find a way to score off Cain and even this series.
World Series Betting Trends:
San Francisco is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of San Francisco’s last 20 games at home
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco’s last 6 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas’s last 6 games
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Texas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas’s last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Pick: Rangers +110
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